Weekly review: how our predictions did (9 November – 15 November 2026)

Every finished match of the week in our main competitions, next to the PreviaXI model's prediction made before kick-off. Hits and misses, nothing removed: the numbers are frozen at kick-off and results count after 90 minutes.

Full prediction record How our model works

The week in numbers

19 matches graded in 6 competitions.
Most likely result correct: 10 of 19 (53%).
Over/under 2.5 goals correct: 14 of 19 (74%).
Both teams to score correct: 11 of 19 (58%).
High-confidence predictions (60% or more): 3 of 3 came true.

Expected goals and goals scored

In the week’s model-covered matches, 5 of 5 fixtures (100%) with at least 3 projected goals before kickoff finished with three or more goals. In the group projected at 2.5 goals or fewer, 2 of 5 (40%) reached three. The comparison uses 90-minute scores and excludes projections between the two ranges.

Biggest surprises

Club Queretaro 0–2 Puebla: Puebla won with only a 20% chance in the model before kick-off.
Leon 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas: a draw the model rated at only 26% before kick-off.
Amorebieta 1–0 UD Logroñés: Amorebieta won with only a 27% chance in the model before kick-off.
Mirassol 0–0 Atletico-MG: a draw the model rated at only 27% before kick-off.
Belgium 4–1 Italy: Belgium won with only a 30% chance in the model before kick-off.

By competition

Competition	Matches	Result	O/U 2.5	BTTS
UEFA Nations League	8	5/8	7/8	6/8
Copa del Rey	4	3/4	3/4	3/4
Coupe de France	1	0/1	1/1	1/1
Serie A	2	1/2	1/2	0/2
Liga Profesional Argentina	1	0/1	1/1	0/1
Liga MX	3	1/3	1/3	1/3

All results

UEFA Nations League

·	Match	1	X	2	Confidence	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Result	·
17:00	Cyprus Montenegro	31%	30%	39%	Low	Either team wins 70%	48%	51%	1-4✅	Preview
17:00	Latvia Armenia	23%	34%	43%	Low	Draw or away win 77%	45%	46%	0-0❌	Preview
20:00	Belarus Albania	29%	37%	34%	Low	Draw or away win 71%	44%	46%	0-2❌	Preview
20:00	Finland San Marino	87%	10%	3%	High	Home win or draw 97%	58%	46%	7-2✅	Preview
22:45	France Türkiye	67%	23%	10%	High	Home win or draw 90%	56%	48%	2-1✅	Preview
22:45	Belgium Italy	30%	27%	43%	Low	Either team wins 73%	54%	56%	4-1❌	Preview
22:45	Spain England	32%	24%	44%	Low	Either team wins 76%	59%	62%	2-3✅	Preview
22:45	Croatia Czechia	42%	32%	26%	Low	Home win or draw 74%	54%	52%	2-1✅	Preview

Copa del Rey

·	Match	1	X	2	Confidence	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Result	·
22:00	Amorebieta UD Logroñés	27%	27%	46%	Medium	Either team wins 73%	46%	51%	1-0❌	Preview
22:00	Mijas Las Lagunas Real Jaén	37%	25%	38%	Low	Either team wins 75%	60%	63%	1-2✅	Preview
20:30	Calvo Sotelo Albacete	11%	20%	69%	High	Draw or away win 89%	54%	47%	0-3✅	Preview
23:00	Salamanca UDS Celta Vigo	21%	28%	51%	Medium	Draw or away win 79%	47%	45%	0-5✅	Preview

Coupe de France

·	Match	1	X	2	Confidence	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Result	·
17:00	Rumilly Vallières Saint Etienne	40%	22%	38%	Low	Either team wins 78%	65%	60%	1-2❌	Preview

Serie A

·	Match	1	X	2	Confidence	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Result	·
00:30	Mirassol Atletico-MG	48%	27%	25%	Medium	Home win or draw 75%	47%	50%	0-0❌	Preview
02:30	Chapecoense-sc Vasco DA Gama	28%	26%	46%	Medium	Either team wins 74%	54%	56%	0-2✅	Preview

Liga Profesional Argentina

·	Match	1	X	2	Confidence	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Result	·
01:30	Central Cordoba de Santiago Lanus	27%	31%	42%	Low	Draw or away win 73%	36%	43%	1-1❌	Preview

Liga MX

·	Match	1	X	2	Confidence	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Result	·
03:00	Club Queretaro Puebla	55%	25%	20%	Medium	Home win or draw 80%	50%	51%	0-2❌	Preview
05:10	Leon Guadalajara Chivas	25%	26%	49%	Medium	Draw or away win 75%	49%	52%	1-1❌	Preview
02:00	Club Queretaro Monterrey	37%	26%	37%	Low	Either team wins 74%	58%	58%	0-1✅	Preview