UEFA Nations League · League A - 6 
Spain 2–3 England
📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Preview written:
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Match report
Goals
- 45' Harry Kane (pen.) · England
- 53' Ezri Konsa · Declan Rice · England
- 57' Ben White · Jude Bellingham · England
- 65' Mikel Oyarzabal (pen.) · Spain
- 75' Nico Williams · Lamine Yamal · Spain
Cards
- 14' Declan Rice · England
- 50' Marc Cucurella · Spain
- 58' Lamine Yamal · Spain
- 63' Elliot Anderson · England
- 67' Djed Spence · England
- 68' Alejandro Baena Rodríguez · Spain
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: J. Bellingham (England) 7.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Original preview
Spain’s winning run faces England’s stern test
Spain have won five straight in the Nations League and sit three points above England, who have won four in a row since losing the reverse fixture.
Most likely result Away win Medium confidence Correct result
Spain defend a three-point lead
Spain top Group A3 with 15 points from five matches. England are second on 12 after four straight wins since Spain beat them 3–2 in September.
Both teams have already qualified for the quarter-finals. Spain will win the group with a draw or a win. England will finish first if they beat Spain, moving level with Spain on 15 points. UEFA’s group-stage scenarios
Spain’s home attack meets England’s away defence
Spain won all five group games, scoring 14 goals and conceding five. They scored seven and conceded twice across their two home matches, against Croatia and Czechia. England won away against the same two opponents, scoring nine and conceding none across those two matches. England’s overall group record is four wins and one defeat, with 16 goals scored and four conceded.
Our prediction
The model leans towards England. Their two away wins without conceding support that outlook, while Spain’s perfect group record and victory in the reverse fixture give the hosts a credible case.
Pre-match forecast and result
Score after 90 minutes 2–3
- Home win (Spain) 31%
- Draw 24%
- Away win (England) 45%
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Confirmed lineups
Spain · 4-2-3-1
- 23Unai SimónG
- 2Marc PubillD
- 5Pau Cubarsí ParedesD
- 14Aymeric LaporteD
- 22Marc CucurellaD
- 18Martín ZubimendiM
- 8Fabián RuizM
- 10Lamine YamalM
- 6Mikel MerinoM
- 15Álex BaenaM
- 21Mikel OyarzabalF
Coach: Luis de la Fuente
England · 4-3-3
- 13J. TraffordG
- 12B. WhiteD
- 5E. KonsaD
- 6J. QuansahD
- 3L. HallD
- 8E. AndersonM
- 10J. BellinghamM
- 4D. RiceM
- 17M. RogersF
- 9H. KaneF
- 11A. GordonF
Coach: T. Tuchel
Match facts
Recent form
Recent results in our provider’s data, oldest first.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| England | 3.2 | 0.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | England | 5 | +12 | 12 |
Last meetings
- 2026 England 2-3 Spain
- 2024 Spain 2-1 England
- 2018 Spain 2-3 England
- 2018 England 1-2 Spain
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.78 – 2.15
- Double chance
- Either team wins76%Home win or draw 55% · Draw or away win 69%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%Over 1.5: 92% · Over 3.5: 55%
- Both teams score
- 62%
- Clean sheet
- 12% – 17%Spain–England
- Half-time result
- 2 · 37%1 29% · X 34%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 29%1/1 19% · X/2 13%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
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