France 2–1 Türkiye

France return home after a 1-0 win in Türkiye

France won 1-0 away to Türkiye in September and host the return fixture at Stade Atlantique in Bordeaux on Sunday. That match is the most recent of three meetings that yielded one win each and one draw.

Group fortunes point in opposite directions

France are second in Group A1 with 10 points from five matches. Türkiye have zero points and are confirmed in fourth place. France reach the quarter-finals if they avoid defeat or if Belgium fail to beat Italy. France finish first if they win and Italy fail to win. France have scored eight goals and conceded five in the group, while Türkiye have scored three and conceded 13. UEFA’s qualification scenarios.

France’s competition-only record is three wins, a draw and a defeat. Their most recent match ended in defeat, though their home results in the Nations League have brought a win and a draw from two games. Türkiye, by contrast, have lost all five of their matches in the competition, including both away games.

The three most recent meetings

The September meeting was decided by a single France goal. Before that, the teams drew 1-1 in October 2019, while Türkiye won 2-0 in June of that year. Across those three meetings, each side has one victory and there has been one draw; all three matches featured no more than two goals.

UEFA lists seven meetings between the teams. France won five and Türkiye won one, with one draw. All four games before 2019 went France’s way.

UEFA match information kit · French Football Federation match page

Our prediction

France have the stronger platform: they are higher in the group, have scored more and face a Türkiye side on five consecutive defeats. The model favours a home win, though the September meeting and the balance of the last three meetings leave room for a closer contest than the recent table gap suggests.