UEFA Nations League · League A - 6
Croatia
2–1 Full time
Czech Republic

Croatia 2–1 Czech Republic

📍 Opus Arena

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Match report

Goals

  • 2' Ivan Perišić · Dion Drena Beljo · Croatia
  • 84' Adam Hložek · Czech Republic
  • 87' Lovro Majer · Luka Vuskovic · Croatia

Cards

  • 71' Josip Stanišić · Croatia
  • 71' Slaven Bilić · Croatia
  • 89' Adam Hložek · Czech Republic

Match stats

CroatiaCzech Republic
60%Possession40%
21Shots8
8Shots on target1
2.24Expected goals (xG)0.51
5Corners1
9Fouls8
3Offsides0
0Saves6

⭐ Top-rated player: I. Perišić (Croatia) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Original preview

Croatia unbeaten in five recent meetings with Czechia

Croatia have avoided defeat in their last five meetings with Czechia, winning twice and drawing three times. Both teams arrive on long losing runs in the Nations League, leaving room for uncertainty.

Most likely result Home win Low confidence Correct result

Third place on the line in Osijek

Croatia are third in League A Group A3 with three points from five matches. Czechia are fourth without a point. A win or draw at Opus Arena on Sunday keeps Croatia third. A Czechia win takes them above Croatia.

UEFA’s Group A3 scenarios

Losing runs in the Nations League

Both teams come into this fixture after a defeat in the competition. Croatia have lost four Nations League matches in a row, while Czechia’s run stands at five consecutive defeats.

Across their five matches in this competition, Croatia have scored five goals and conceded 16. Czechia have scored twice and let in 12. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in the Nations League so far.

Croatia hold the recent edge

The head-to-head record offers Croatia encouragement: they are unbeaten in the last five meetings, with two wins and three draws, while Czechia have not won any of them. Croatia also took the latest encounter, winning 2-1 in the Nations League in September.

That record is a clear contrast with both teams’ current runs. It gives Croatia a reason for confidence, though their recent results in the competition show that another difficult test awaits.

Our prediction

Croatia have the edge, with their unbeaten record in the five most recent meetings and stronger scoring return offering reasons to favour them. The recent losing runs make a home win far from certain, and a draw or Czechia response remain plausible outcomes.

Pre-match forecast and result

Score after 90 minutes 2–1

  • Home win (Croatia) 41%
  • Draw 32%
  • Away win (Czech Republic) 27%

Confirmed lineups

Croatia · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1D. LivakovićG
  2. 2J. StanišićD
  3. 3L. VuškovićD
  4. 5D. Ćaleta-CarD
  5. 4J. GvardiolD
  6. 10L. ModrićM
  7. 8M. KovačićM
  8. 16M. BaturinaM
  9. 17P. SučićM
  10. 14I. PerišićM
  11. 9D. BeljoF

Coach: S. Bilić

Czech Republic · 4-2-3-1

  1. 23A. KinskýG
  2. 5V. CoufalD
  3. 3T. VlčekD
  4. 6D. ZimaD
  5. 15J. SlámaD
  6. 21A. KrálM
  7. 12L. ČervM
  8. 7I. HopiM
  9. 8M. SadílekM
  10. 11C. KabongoM
  11. 10A. HložekF

Coach: Santi

Match facts

Recent form

Croatia WLLLL
Czech Republic LLLLL

Recent results in our provider’s data, oldest first.

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Croatia1.03.2
Czech Republic0.42.4

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
3Croatia5 -113
4Czechia5 -100

Last meetings

  • 2026 Czech Republic 1-2 Croatia
  • 2025 Czech Republic 0-0 Croatia
  • 2025 Croatia 5-1 Czech Republic
  • 2021 Croatia 1-1 Czech Republic
  • 2016 Czech Republic 2-2 Croatia

PreviaXI model

Croatia41% Draw32% Czech Republic27%

Model confidence: Low

Expected goals (model)
1.37 – 1.07
Double chance
Home win or draw73%Either team wins 68% · Draw or away win 59%
Over 2.5 goals
54%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 23%
Both teams score
52%
Clean sheet
34% – 26%Croatia–Czech Republic
Half-time result
X · 45%1 32% · 2 23%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 24%X/X 20% · X/1 15%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

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