Croatia 2–1 Czech Republic
📍 Opus Arena
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Match report
Goals
- 2' Ivan Perišić · Dion Drena Beljo · Croatia
- 84' Adam Hložek · Czech Republic
- 87' Lovro Majer · Luka Vuskovic · Croatia
Cards
- 71' Josip Stanišić · Croatia
- 71' Slaven Bilić · Croatia
- 89' Adam Hložek · Czech Republic
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: I. Perišić (Croatia) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Original preview
Croatia unbeaten in five recent meetings with Czechia
Croatia have avoided defeat in their last five meetings with Czechia, winning twice and drawing three times. Both teams arrive on long losing runs in the Nations League, leaving room for uncertainty.
Most likely result Home win Low confidence Correct result
Third place on the line in Osijek
Croatia are third in League A Group A3 with three points from five matches. Czechia are fourth without a point. A win or draw at Opus Arena on Sunday keeps Croatia third. A Czechia win takes them above Croatia.
Losing runs in the Nations League
Both teams come into this fixture after a defeat in the competition. Croatia have lost four Nations League matches in a row, while Czechia’s run stands at five consecutive defeats.
Across their five matches in this competition, Croatia have scored five goals and conceded 16. Czechia have scored twice and let in 12. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in the Nations League so far.
Croatia hold the recent edge
The head-to-head record offers Croatia encouragement: they are unbeaten in the last five meetings, with two wins and three draws, while Czechia have not won any of them. Croatia also took the latest encounter, winning 2-1 in the Nations League in September.
That record is a clear contrast with both teams’ current runs. It gives Croatia a reason for confidence, though their recent results in the competition show that another difficult test awaits.
Our prediction
Croatia have the edge, with their unbeaten record in the five most recent meetings and stronger scoring return offering reasons to favour them. The recent losing runs make a home win far from certain, and a draw or Czechia response remain plausible outcomes.
Pre-match forecast and result
Score after 90 minutes 2–1
- Home win (Croatia) 41%
- Draw 32%
- Away win (Czech Republic) 27%
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Confirmed lineups
Croatia · 4-2-3-1
- 1D. LivakovićG
- 2J. StanišićD
- 3L. VuškovićD
- 5D. Ćaleta-CarD
- 4J. GvardiolD
- 10L. ModrićM
- 8M. KovačićM
- 16M. BaturinaM
- 17P. SučićM
- 14I. PerišićM
- 9D. BeljoF
Coach: S. Bilić
Czech Republic · 4-2-3-1
- 23A. KinskýG
- 5V. CoufalD
- 3T. VlčekD
- 6D. ZimaD
- 15J. SlámaD
- 21A. KrálM
- 12L. ČervM
- 7I. HopiM
- 8M. SadílekM
- 11C. KabongoM
- 10A. HložekF
Coach: Santi
Match facts
Recent form
Recent results in our provider’s data, oldest first.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| Czech Republic | 0.4 | 2.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Croatia | 5 | -11 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Czech Republic 1-2 Croatia
- 2025 Czech Republic 0-0 Croatia
- 2025 Croatia 5-1 Czech Republic
- 2021 Croatia 1-1 Czech Republic
- 2016 Czech Republic 2-2 Croatia
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Low
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.37 – 1.07
- Double chance
- Home win or draw73%Either team wins 68% · Draw or away win 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Clean sheet
- 34% – 26%Croatia–Czech Republic
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 32% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%X/X 20% · X/1 15%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

