Chapecoense-sc 0–2 Vasco DA Gama

Chapecoense’s push for progress

Chapecoense have lost their last two league matches and sit 20th after 33 league matches played, with 21 points. They will look to use home advantage at Arena Condá to begin climbing the standings, though the challenge is significant: Vasco DA Gama are 13th on 41 points, seven places and 20 points above them.

A difficult run for the hosts

Chapecoense have taken one win and suffered four defeats in their last five league matches, scoring four goals and conceding 11. Their overall record stands at four wins, nine draws and 20 defeats, with 33 goals scored and 68 conceded.

At home, they have won three, drawn five and lost eight of 16 league games. They have scored 22 goals there, but conceded 36. Vasco’s recent results are more varied: two wins, a draw and two defeats in their last five, with seven goals scored and eight conceded. Their latest league outing was a win, while Chapecoense’s was a defeat.

Vasco have three wins, five draws and eight defeats in 16 away league matches, scoring 18 and conceding 26. That record offers Chapecoense an opening, even if the visitors have the stronger overall campaign.

Recent meetings favour Vasco

The latest meeting, in February, ended 1-1. Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Vasco have won once and drawn four times; Chapecoense have not won, and Vasco remain unbeaten in that sequence. Four of those five games produced two goals or fewer.

The home response to watch

Chapecoense’s immediate task is to tighten up after conceding 11 times across their last five matches. Their home scoring record gives them a platform, but they will need a more resilient defensive display to turn it into points.

Vasco have scored more often across the campaign and arrive off a victory. Their away record is mixed, so Chapecoense may find opportunities if they can make home advantage count.

Our prediction

Vasco have the edge, with their stronger season-long scoring record and recent win supporting the model’s lean towards an away result. But their away form is far from dominant, and Chapecoense’s home setting leaves a draw or a home response plausible.