Mirassol 0–0 Atletico-MG
📍 José Maria de Campos Maia
Preview written:
All Matchday 35 matches Full head-to-head
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Match report
Final result: Mirassol 0-0 Atletico-MG.
Mirassol led in shots on target (2–1), while Atletico-MG had the higher expected goals total (1.2–0.78). The two measures describe how often teams tested the goalkeeper and the quality of their chances.
Cards
- 7' Neto Moura · Mirassol
- 47' Alesson · Mirassol
- 90+6' Edson Carioca · Mirassol
- 90+2' Jose Aldo · Mirassol
- 90+5' Natanael · Atletico-MG
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Kevin Castaño (Atletico-MG) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Original preview
Mirassol offer Atletico-MG a chance to halt their losing run
Atletico-MG arrive after three straight defeats, with pressure mounting despite their higher league position. Mirassol’s home record gives them a credible chance to take advantage.
Most likely result Home win Medium confidence Missed
Pressure on Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG travel to Mirassol needing a response after three consecutive defeats. They remain seventh in the Serie A table, ten points and seven places above their hosts, but another setback would deepen the pressure as the season reaches its 35th round.
Mirassol are 14th after 34 matches. Their stronger home record offers a route to challenge the visitors: they have won seven, drawn six and lost four of 17 league games at home.
Contrasting recent runs
Mirassol’s latest league match was a win. Their last five league matches, including that win, brought two wins, a draw and two defeats. They scored five and conceded five across that spell.
Atletico-MG have also scored five goals in their last five, but conceded six, with three defeats in that run. Their most recent league outing ended in defeat. Away from home, their record is a concern: four wins, three draws and ten defeats in 17 matches.
Atletico hold the head-to-head edge
Atletico-MG are unbeaten in the three listed meetings, winning twice and drawing once. Their latest encounter, in May, ended in a 3-1 victory over Mirassol. The hosts will need to break that sequence while making their home advantage count.
What the home records show
Mirassol have scored 24 goals and conceded 22 at home in the league, while Atletico-MG have scored 17 and conceded 22 on the road. Those figures point to a contest in which Mirassol may find opportunities, though the visitors’ league position and stronger overall record mean they cannot be discounted.
Our prediction
Mirassol have the edge, with their home results and Atletico-MG’s three-match losing run shaping the outlook. The visitors’ unbeaten record in the three listed meetings offers a plausible alternative, so a home win is a lean rather than a certainty.
Pre-match forecast and result
Score after 90 minutes 0–0
- Home win (Mirassol) 48%
- Draw 27%
- Away win (Atletico-MG) 25%
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Confirmed lineups
Mirassol · 4-2-3-1
- 22WalterG
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 34João VictorD
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 25Neto MouraM
- 27DenilsonM
- 96Carlos EduardoM
- 7ShaylonM
- 77AlessonM
- 30Bruno SantosF
Atletico-MG · 4-2-3-1
- 22EversonG
- 2NatanaelD
- 3Léo DuarteD
- 4RuanD
- 6Renan LodiD
- 17Igor GomesM
- 15Kevin CastañoM
- 28Tomás CuelloM
- 7FredM
- 11BernardM
- 9Mateo CassierraF
Match facts
Recent form
Recent results in our provider’s data, oldest first.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 1.2 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Atletico-MG 3-1 Mirassol
- 2025 Atletico-MG 1-0 Mirassol
- 2025 Mirassol 2-2 Atletico-MG
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.51 – 1.01
- Double chance
- Home win or draw75%Either team wins 73% · Draw or away win 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 25%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 36% – 22%Mirassol–Atletico-MG
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 36% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%X/1 17% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 11.06.2 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 59%
- Expected cards
- 4.32.2 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 64%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

