Serie A · Matchday 35
Mirassol
0–0 Full time
Atletico-MG

Mirassol 0–0 Atletico-MG

📍 José Maria de Campos Maia

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Match report

Final result: Mirassol 0-0 Atletico-MG.

Mirassol led in shots on target (2–1), while Atletico-MG had the higher expected goals total (1.2–0.78). The two measures describe how often teams tested the goalkeeper and the quality of their chances.

Cards

  • 7' Neto Moura · Mirassol
  • 47' Alesson · Mirassol
  • 90+6' Edson Carioca · Mirassol
  • 90+2' Jose Aldo · Mirassol
  • 90+5' Natanael · Atletico-MG

Match stats

MirassolAtletico-MG
43%Possession57%
11Shots16
2Shots on target1
0.78Expected goals (xG)1.20
4Corners3
12Fouls7
0Offsides2
1Saves2

⭐ Top-rated player: Kevin Castaño (Atletico-MG) 7.9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Original preview

Mirassol offer Atletico-MG a chance to halt their losing run

Atletico-MG arrive after three straight defeats, with pressure mounting despite their higher league position. Mirassol’s home record gives them a credible chance to take advantage.

Most likely result Home win Medium confidence Missed

Pressure on Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG travel to Mirassol needing a response after three consecutive defeats. They remain seventh in the Serie A table, ten points and seven places above their hosts, but another setback would deepen the pressure as the season reaches its 35th round.

Mirassol are 14th after 34 matches. Their stronger home record offers a route to challenge the visitors: they have won seven, drawn six and lost four of 17 league games at home.

Contrasting recent runs

Mirassol’s latest league match was a win. Their last five league matches, including that win, brought two wins, a draw and two defeats. They scored five and conceded five across that spell.

Atletico-MG have also scored five goals in their last five, but conceded six, with three defeats in that run. Their most recent league outing ended in defeat. Away from home, their record is a concern: four wins, three draws and ten defeats in 17 matches.

Atletico hold the head-to-head edge

Atletico-MG are unbeaten in the three listed meetings, winning twice and drawing once. Their latest encounter, in May, ended in a 3-1 victory over Mirassol. The hosts will need to break that sequence while making their home advantage count.

What the home records show

Mirassol have scored 24 goals and conceded 22 at home in the league, while Atletico-MG have scored 17 and conceded 22 on the road. Those figures point to a contest in which Mirassol may find opportunities, though the visitors’ league position and stronger overall record mean they cannot be discounted.

Our prediction

Mirassol have the edge, with their home results and Atletico-MG’s three-match losing run shaping the outlook. The visitors’ unbeaten record in the three listed meetings offers a plausible alternative, so a home win is a lean rather than a certainty.

Pre-match forecast and result

Score after 90 minutes 0–0

  • Home win (Mirassol) 48%
  • Draw 27%
  • Away win (Atletico-MG) 25%

Confirmed lineups

Mirassol · 4-2-3-1

  1. 22WalterG
  2. 32Igor FormigaD
  3. 34João VictorD
  4. 2Lucas OliveiraD
  5. 6ReinaldoD
  6. 25Neto MouraM
  7. 27DenilsonM
  8. 96Carlos EduardoM
  9. 7ShaylonM
  10. 77AlessonM
  11. 30Bruno SantosF

Atletico-MG · 4-2-3-1

  1. 22EversonG
  2. 2NatanaelD
  3. 3Léo DuarteD
  4. 4RuanD
  5. 6Renan LodiD
  6. 17Igor GomesM
  7. 15Kevin CastañoM
  8. 28Tomás CuelloM
  9. 7FredM
  10. 11BernardM
  11. 9Mateo CassierraF

Match facts

Recent form

Mirassol LWDLW
Atletico-MG WWLLL

Recent results in our provider’s data, oldest first.

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Mirassol1.11.4
Atletico-MG1.31.2

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
7Atletico-MG34 +450
14Mirassol34 -940

Last meetings

  • 2026 Atletico-MG 3-1 Mirassol
  • 2025 Atletico-MG 1-0 Mirassol
  • 2025 Mirassol 2-2 Atletico-MG

PreviaXI model

Mirassol48% Draw27% Atletico-MG25%

Model confidence: Medium

Expected goals (model)
1.51 – 1.01
Double chance
Home win or draw75%Either team wins 73% · Draw or away win 52%
Over 2.5 goals
47%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 25%
Both teams score
50%
Clean sheet
36% – 22%Mirassol–Atletico-MG
Half-time result
X · 43%1 36% · 2 21%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 29%X/1 17% · X/X 17%
Expected corners
11.06.2 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 59%
Expected cards
4.32.2 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 64%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

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