Rumilly Vallières 1–2 Saint Etienne
📍 Parc des Sports d'Annecy
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Match report
Final result: Rumilly Vallières 1-2 Saint Etienne.
Saint Etienne took the lead for good at 72′.
Goals
- 58' N. Kasia (o.g.) · Rumilly Vallières
- 70' B. Old · Saint Etienne
- 72' J. Ferreira · Saint Etienne
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Original preview
Rumilly Vallières and Saint Etienne: a cup test of contrasting strengths
Rumilly Vallières of National 1 face Ligue 2 leaders Saint Etienne in the seventh round of the Coupe de France at Annecy. The model selects Rumilly but treats the sides as closely matched.
Most likely result Home win Low confidence Missed
A cup tie between different levels
A place in the next round is at stake as National 1’s Rumilly Vallières take on Ligue 2 leaders Saint Etienne in the Coupe de France’s seventh round. The contrast is striking: Rumilly Vallières are second in National 1 - Group C, while Saint Etienne top the second tier. Yet both arrive with four wins and one defeat in their last five league matches, and both most recently won.
The tie is at the Parc des Sports in Annecy, with Rumilly Vallières the designated hosts. The model selects Rumilly, although its rounded home and away win chances are equal. That makes this a closely balanced forecast rather than a clear home advantage.
Strong league runs on both sides
Rumilly Vallières have 18 points after nine matches and sit second in their group. Saint Etienne have 28 points from 12 games and lead Ligue 2. Each side has won four of its last five league fixtures, with one defeat, and each goes into the cup tie after a victory.
The comparison is impressive for both teams, but the different divisions matter: Saint Etienne have established themselves at the top of Ligue 2, while Rumilly Vallières will be looking to turn their National 1 momentum into a cup upset.
Saint Etienne won the previous meeting
The teams met in a friendly in July 2020, when Saint Etienne beat Rumilly Vallières 4-1. It offers a little history, though the competitive context is different this time.
Our prediction
The model’s selected outcome is a Rumilly Vallières win, but it sees the two sides as closely matched. Saint Etienne’s stronger league level makes an away win a credible alternative, and a draw remains possible. The tie is being played in Annecy, so it should not be framed as an advantage at Rumilly’s usual ground.
Pre-match forecast and result
Score after 90 minutes 1–2
- Home win (Rumilly Vallières) 39%
- Draw 22%
- Away win (Saint Etienne) 39%
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Match facts
Last meetings
- 2020 Saint Etienne 4-1 Rumilly Vallières
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Low
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.85 – 1.82
- Double chance
- Either team wins78%Home win or draw 61% · Draw or away win 61%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%Over 1.5: 88% · Over 3.5: 50%
- Both teams score
- 60%
- Clean sheet
- 16% – 16%Rumilly Vallières–Saint Etienne
- Half-time result
- X · 35%1 33% · 2 32%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%2/2 23% · X/1 12%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

