Our pick Home win Missed
Queretaro under pressure to halt four-game losing run against Puebla
Club Queretaro’s fourth straight defeat has raised the stakes, despite sitting three places and four points above Puebla. Both sides arrive after a loss, but Queretaro have the recent head-to-head edge.
📍 Estadio La Corregidora
Preview written:
All Apertura, matchday 16 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Club Queretaro 0-2 Puebla.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 21–9; Shots on target: 5–3; Corners: 9–0; Expected goals: 1.49–1.34.
Goals
- 9' Kevin Velasco · Omar Moreno · Puebla
- 36' Omar Moreno · Kevin Velasco · Puebla
Cards
- 45' Oscar Villa · Puebla
- 65' Iker Moreno · Puebla
- 68' Ali Ávila · Club Queretaro
- 71' Eduardo Perez · Club Queretaro
- 86' Alonso Ramirez · Puebla
- 90+5' Santiago Homenchenko · Club Queretaro
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: K. Velasco (Puebla) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Club Queretaro · 4-2-3-1
- 25G. AllisonG
- 24B. DuarteD
- 13D. ReyesD
- 2L. AbasciaD
- 27D. ParraD
- 4Carlo AdrianoM
- 5S. HomenchenkoM
- 17D. MuñozM
- 11M. CoronelM
- 7Iker BenitoM
- 9A. ÁvilaF
Coach: E. González
Puebla · 4-2-3-1
- 28R. GutiérrezG
- 12I. MorenoD
- 5F. AlmadaD
- 4J. VargasD
- 15Ó. VillaD
- 24A. OrganistaM
- 14E. ArmentaM
- 26K. VelascoM
- 10M. TomásM
- 8O. MorenoM
- 9L. HernándezF
Coach: Gerardo Espinoza
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Puebla | 1.1 | 1.5 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Club Queretaro | 14 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | -6 | 16 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Puebla 1-2 Club Queretaro
- 2025 Club Queretaro 3-1 Puebla
- 2025 Club Queretaro 2-0 Puebla
- 2024 Puebla 2-1 Club Queretaro
- 2024 Puebla 0-2 Club Queretaro
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.73 – 0.96
- Double chance
- 1X · 80%12 75% · X2 45%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 38% – 18%Club Queretaro–Puebla
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 40% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 34%X/1 18% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 11.26.2 – 5.0 · Over 9.5: 66%
- Expected cards
- 3.81.8 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 51%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Pressure in Querétaro
Club Queretaro need a response in front of their home supporters: they have lost four league matches in a row and face a Puebla side also seeking to stop a slide. Queretaro sit 11th with 20 points after 14 matches, three places and four points above 14th-placed Puebla, who have played one game more. The standings offer some breathing room, but another defeat would deepen the pressure on the hosts.
Two sides short on momentum
Queretaro’s most recent league match ended in defeat, extending a last-five sequence of one win and four losses. They scored five goals and conceded 13 across those games. Their home record gives them some grounds for confidence—two wins, a draw and three defeats in six league matches—but they have kept only one clean sheet at Estadio La Corregidora.
Puebla are also coming off a defeat and have lost three league matches in succession. They are without a win in eight, with two draws and three defeats in their last five. Their away record is mixed: three wins, one draw and four defeats in eight matches on the road.
Recent meetings favour Queretaro
Queretaro have won four of the last five meetings, with Puebla taking the other and no draws in that run. The most recent encounter, in April, ended 2-1 to Queretaro at Puebla. Two of those five meetings featured two goals or fewer, so the history offers both a clear edge to the hosts and reason not to assume a high-scoring game.
Players to watch
The overall scoring numbers underline the challenge for both defences: Queretaro have conceded 21 goals in 14 league matches, while Puebla have conceded 23 in 15. Queretaro have scored 18, compared with Puebla’s 17, and each side arrives with a recent run of heavy concessions. The home team’s ability to turn its familiar ground into a source of stability could be central to ending its losing streak.
Our prediction
Queretaro’s home advantage and stronger recent head-to-head record make them the likelier side to respond, even though their four-match losing run is a clear concern. PreviaXI’s model favours the hosts, and a narrow win fits a matchup between two teams struggling to keep goals out.
Club Queretaro 1-0 Puebla

