Liga MX – Apertura, matchday 16: predictions & previews
All 9 matches of Liga MX Apertura, matchday 16 (7 November – 9 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.
Key numbers
- Biggest favourite: Toluca (58% to win against Monterrey).
- Closest on paper: Atlas – CF Pachuca (38% vs 33%, draw 29%).
- Most goals expected: Toluca – Monterrey (3.1 expected goals); fewest: Atlas – CF Pachuca (2.5).
- Both teams to score is more likely than not in 7 of 7 matches.
- The model expects about 20 goals in these 7 matches (2.87 per match).
All matches
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico San Luis FC Juarez | 51% | 24% | 25% | 1276% | 60% | 61% | 8.95.0–3.9 | 4.11.8–2.3 | Stats | ||
 Necaxa Club Tijuana | 40% | 26% | 34% | 1274% | 57% | 61% | 10.46.5–3.9 | 5.12.8–2.3 | Stats | ||
 Atlante FC Santos Laguna | 48% | 25% | 27% | 1275% | 56% | 58% | 11.66.3–5.3 | 4.12.0–2.1 | Stats |
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlas CF Pachuca | 38% | 29% | 33% | 1271% | 45% | 51% | 9.24.5–4.7 | 5.62.6–3.0 | Stats | ||
 Tigres UANL Cruz Azul | 39% | 28% | 33% | 1272% | 48% | 53% | 9.85.6–4.2 | 5.32.5–2.8 | Stats | ||
 Toluca Monterrey | 58% | 22% | 20% | 1X80% | 61% | 59% | 9.85.7–4.1 | 4.32.1–2.2 | Stats | ||
 U.N.A.M. - Pumas Club America | 33% | 26% | 41% | 1274% | 54% | 58% | 9.94.2–5.7 | 4.12.5–1.6 | Stats |
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Club Queretaro Puebla | – | ||||||||||
 Leon Guadalajara Chivas | – | ||||||||||
Matches marked – are outside our model window or were played before the archive started; they link once a preview exists.
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