Liga MX · Apertura - 16 
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana: prediction, stats and form
Liga MX, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Necaxa 40%, the draw 26% and Club Tijuana 34%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Apertura, matchday 16 matches
PreviaXI model
Necaxa40%Draw26%Club Tijuana34%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.56 – 1.43
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 66% · X2 60%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 61%
- Clean sheet
- 24% – 21%Necaxa–Club Tijuana
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 32% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%2/2 20% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.46.5 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 5.12.8 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 72%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
- 0-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Necaxa
- Power ratings: Necaxa -0.21 goals per game (13th of 18 in Liga MX), Club Tijuana 0.00 (8th).
- Necaxa's attack (1.36 goals per game) meets Club Tijuana's defence (1.47 conceded per game).
- Club Tijuana's attack (1.47) meets Necaxa's defence (1.57).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.56 – 1.43 goals: Necaxa 40%, draw 26%, Club Tijuana 34%.
Match facts
Last matches · Necaxa
- L Sun 1 Nov A Santos Laguna 0-1
- D Sat 24 Oct H FC Juarez 1-1
- L Wed 21 Oct A Guadalajara Chivas 0-1
- L Sat 17 Oct H Atlas 0-2
- D Sun 11 Oct A CF Pachuca 3-3
- L Mon 28 Sept H Club America 2-4
Last matches · Club Tijuana
- D Sun 1 Nov A Monterrey 3-3
- D Thu 29 Oct A Club America 1-1
- W Mon 26 Oct H Santos Laguna 4-1
- D Thu 22 Oct A Toluca 2-2
- D Sat 17 Oct H Puebla 0-0
- D Sat 10 Oct A FC Juarez 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Necaxa | Club Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Necaxa (H) | Club Tijuana (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/18 | Necaxa | 15 | -12 | 10 |
| 6/18 | Club Tijuana | 15 | +4 | 22 |
Last meetings
- 2026Necaxa 3-0 Club Tijuana
- 2025Club Tijuana 3-0 Necaxa
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.