Liga MX – Apertura, matchday 13: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Liga MX Apertura, matchday 13 (21 October – 22 October 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

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Key numbers

  • Biggest favourite: Toluca (63% to win against Club Tijuana).
  • Closest on paper: Santos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - Pumas (40% vs 34%, draw 26%).
  • Most goals expected: Toluca – Club Tijuana (3.1 expected goals); fewest: CF Pachuca – Cruz Azul (2.5).
  • Both teams to score is more likely than not in 5 of 5 matches.
  • The model expects about 14 goals in these 5 matches (2.78 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 5 · most likely result correct: 4 (80%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 2 (40%) · both teams to score correct: 4 (80%)

·Match1X2DCO 2.5BTTSCornersCardsResult·
Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa–1-0
FC JuarezAtlante FC–0-1
Atletico San LuisClub Queretaro–2-1
Tigres UANLLeon–0-2

·Match1X2DCO 2.5BTTSCornersCardsResult·
AtlasClub America27%27%46%1273%51%55%10.04.1–5.94.82.6–2.22-5✅
PueblaMonterrey27%28%45%X273%48%53%10.04.6–5.43.62.1–1.51-4✅
TolucaClub Tijuana63%22%15%1X85%60%56%10.06.9–3.15.02.4–2.62-2❌
CF PachucaCruz Azul30%29%41%1271%45%51%9.14.6–4.55.32.8–2.51-2✅
Santos LagunaU.N.A.M. - Pumas40%26%34%1274%57%61%10.56.3–4.24.21.9–2.32-0✅

Matches marked – are outside our model window or were played before the archive started; they link once a preview exists.

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