Liga MX · Apertura - 13 
Monterrey vs Puebla: One Point Separates Two Sides Going Nowhere Fast
Monterrey and Puebla sit one point apart in the Liga MX table, and both are looking for a way to pull clear. Puebla have not beaten their rivals in five meetings.
📍 Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| Scored | Conceded | |
|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Monterrey | 1.7 | 1.5 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Monterrey | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 | Puebla | 12 | -1 | 16 |
Last meetings
- 2026Monterrey2-1Puebla
- 2025Puebla2-4Monterrey
- 2025Monterrey1-1Puebla
- 2024Puebla1-2Monterrey
- 2024Monterrey2-0Puebla
PreviaXI model
- Most likely score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.11 – 1.49
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Expected corners
- 4.6 – 5.5Total10.1
- Expected cards
- 2.1 – 1.5Total3.6
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.
Only one point separates Monterrey from Puebla in the Liga MX Apertura table, so this clash at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc carries more weight than its midtable setting suggests.
Context and stakes: a margin of one point
Monterrey sit eighth with 17 points from 11 games, while Puebla are twelfth on 16 from 12. Monterrey’s goal difference is three, Puebla’s minus one. In an 18-team league, a single result can close that gap, and neither side wants to watch the teams above them pull away.
Form: Puebla’s home struggles
Puebla have won only one of their five home games this season, drawing three and losing one. They have scored six and conceded six at home, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet there. Their last five league results read DDLDL, with no wins.
Monterrey have been far more comfortable at home, winning four of six, but their away record is their weak point: one win, one draw and three defeats from five trips. Their recent run is WDLWD.
Head-to-head: Monterrey’s grip on this rivalry
Monterrey have won four of the last five meetings and drawn the other. Puebla have not beaten them in that span. The most recent meeting, in April, ended 2-1 to Monterrey, while the August 2025 game in Puebla finished 4-2 in Monterrey’s favour.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Monterrey, and the football behind that lean is clear. Monterrey have scored 19 goals this season against Puebla’s 12, and their attack has been the more reliable of the two. Puebla have struggled to score and have seen 10 of their 12 games stay under 2.5 goals, which suggests a tight, low-scoring contest. Puebla’s home defence is the concern, but Monterrey’s away form means they cannot take this for granted. We expect a narrow away win that could decide who edges ahead in the table.
Puebla 0-1 Monterrey