Liga MX · Apertura - 16 
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: prediction, stats and form
Liga MX, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Tigres UANL 39%, the draw 28% and Cruz Azul 33%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Apertura, matchday 16 matches
PreviaXI model
Tigres UANL39%Draw28%Cruz Azul33%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.36 – 1.23
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 67% · X2 61%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 26%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 26%Tigres UANL–Cruz Azul
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 30% · 2 27%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 23%2/2 19% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.85.6 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 52%
- Expected cards
- 5.32.5 – 2.8 · Over 3.5: 75%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-09%
- 0-19%
- 2-19%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Tigres UANL
- Power ratings: Tigres UANL +0.31 goals per game (5th of 18 in Liga MX), Cruz Azul +0.53 (4th).
- Tigres UANL's attack (1.45 goals per game) meets Cruz Azul's defence (1.20 conceded per game).
- Cruz Azul's attack (1.73) meets Tigres UANL's defence (1.14).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.36 – 1.23 goals: Tigres UANL 39%, draw 28%, Cruz Azul 33%.
Match facts
Last matches · Tigres UANL
- L Sat 31 Oct A CF Pachuca 0-3
- D Sun 25 Oct A U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1
- L Wed 21 Oct H Leon 0-2
- D Sat 17 Oct A Guadalajara Chivas 1-1
- W Sat 10 Oct H Toluca 3-2
- W Sun 27 Sept H Puebla 1-0
Last matches · Cruz Azul
- W Mon 2 Nov H Leon 2-1
- W Mon 26 Oct A Club Queretaro 3-1
- W Thu 22 Oct A CF Pachuca 2-1
- W Sun 18 Oct H FC Juarez 5-0
- D Mon 12 Oct A U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3
- D Sat 26 Sept H Toluca 3-3
Last 10 matches
| · | Tigres UANL | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 2.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Tigres UANL (H) | Cruz Azul (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 90% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/18 | Tigres UANL | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 3/18 | Cruz Azul | 15 | +10 | 29 |
Last meetings
- 2026Cruz Azul 2-1 Tigres UANL
- 2025Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul
- 2025Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres UANL
- 2025Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.