Liga MX · Apertura - 16 
Atlas vs CF Pachuca: prediction, stats and form
Liga MX, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Atlas 38%, the draw 29% and CF Pachuca 33%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Apertura, matchday 16 matches
PreviaXI model
Atlas38%Draw29%CF Pachuca33%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.29 – 1.19
- Double chance
- 12 · 71%1X 67% · X2 62%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 28%Atlas–CF Pachuca
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 29% · 2 27%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 22%2/2 19% · X/X 18%
- Expected corners
- 9.24.5 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 43%
- Expected cards
- 5.62.6 – 3.0 · Over 3.5: 77%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-010%
- 0-19%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Atlas -0.22 goals per game (14th of 18 in Liga MX), CF Pachuca -0.02 (9th).
- Atlas's attack (1.31 goals per game) meets CF Pachuca's defence (1.27 conceded per game).
- CF Pachuca's attack (1.25) meets Atlas's defence (1.53).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.29 – 1.19 goals: Atlas 38%, draw 29%, CF Pachuca 33%.
Match facts
Last matches · Atlas
- W Sat 31 Oct A Atletico San Luis 1-0
- W Sun 25 Oct H Puebla 4-3
- L Thu 22 Oct H Club America 2-5
- W Sat 17 Oct A Necaxa 2-0
- D Sun 11 Oct H Guadalajara Chivas 1-1
- W Sat 26 Sept A Club Tijuana 3-2
Last matches · CF Pachuca
- W Sat 31 Oct H Tigres UANL 3-0
- W Mon 26 Oct A Club America 2-1
- L Thu 22 Oct H Cruz Azul 1-2
- L Mon 19 Oct A Monterrey 1-2
- D Sun 11 Oct H Necaxa 3-3
- L Sun 27 Sept A Santos Laguna 0-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Atlas | CF Pachuca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Atlas (H) | CF Pachuca (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/18 | Atlas | 15 | 0 | 27 |
| 12/18 | CF Pachuca | 15 | +6 | 19 |
Last meetings
- 2026CF Pachuca 3-1 Atlas
- 2025Atlas 0-3 CF Pachuca
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.