Liga MX – Apertura, matchday 15: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Liga MX Apertura, matchday 15 (31 October – 2 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

North America

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Cruz Azul (64% to win against Leon).
Closest on paper: FC Juarez – Club Queretaro (38% vs 36%, draw 26%).
Most goals expected: Santos Laguna – Necaxa (3.1 expected goals); fewest: CF Pachuca – Tigres UANL (2.2).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 7 of 9 matches.
The model expects about 25 goals in these 9 matches (2.81 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 9 · most likely result correct: 5 (56%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 4 (44%) · both teams to score correct: 6 (67%)

Saturday 31 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result
04:00	Atletico San LuisAtlas	45%	26%	29%	1274%	56%	59%	8.84.8–4.0	4.12.0–2.1	0-1❌
04:00	FC JuarezClub Queretaro	38%	26%	36%	1274%	59%	62%	10.66.0–4.6	5.22.5–2.7	3-1✅
06:00	PueblaU.N.A.M. - Pumas	29%	29%	42%	1271%	45%	51%	10.15.4–4.7	3.21.5–1.7	1-2✅

Sunday 1 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
02:00	CF PachucaTigres UANL	31%	31%	38%	1269%	38%	46%	9.24.4–4.8	6.23.4–2.8	3-0❌	Preview
04:05	MonterreyClub Tijuana	47%	25%	28%	1275%	59%	61%	9.76.5–3.2	4.72.2–2.5	3-3❌	Preview
04:07	Guadalajara ChivasAtlante FC	59%	25%	16%	1X84%	48%	47%	11.37.5–3.8	3.91.6–2.3	4-2✅	Preview
06:10	Club AmericaToluca	41%	27%	32%	1273%	54%	58%	10.35.5–4.8	4.52.0–2.5	2-2❌	Preview

Monday 2 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
02:00	Santos LagunaNecaxa	46%	25%	29%	1275%	60%	62%	10.96.1–4.8	5.02.4–2.6	1-0✅	Preview
04:10	Cruz AzulLeon	64%	21%	15%	1X85%	57%	53%	10.46.7–3.7	4.72.2–2.5	2-1✅	Preview

Doha time