Our pick Away win Missed
Chivas’ winning run faces a stern test at León
Guadalajara Chivas have won three in a row and are unbeaten in five as they travel to eighth-placed León. The hosts will look to respond after their latest league defeat.
📍 Estadio León
Preview written:
All Apertura, matchday 16 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Leon 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 8–18; Shots on target: 5–6; Corners: 2–6; Expected goals: 0.4–1.65.
Goals
- 69' Ricardo Marín · Daniel Aguirre · Guadalajara Chivas
- 87' Paul Bellón · Jhohan Romana · Leon
Cards
- 18' Richard Ledezma · Guadalajara Chivas
- 23' Juan Guevara · Leon
- 51' Diber Cambindo · Leon
- 53' Jose Rodriguez · Leon
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: P. Bellón (Leon) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Leon · 4-1-4-1
- 23Ó. GarcíaG
- 7I. MorenoD
- 14J. RomañaD
- 3Juan José Guevara PossuD
- 5S. VegasD
- 29J. RodríguezM
- 19J. AlvaradoM
- 20R. EcheverríaM
- 6F. BeltránM
- 13D. ArcilaM
- 27D. CambindoF
Coach: J. Gandolfi
Guadalajara Chivas · 3-4-2-1
- 1J. RangelG
- 23D. AguirreD
- 3D. CampilloD
- 7L. RomoD
- 37R. LedezmaM
- 28R. GonzálezM
- 6O. GoveaM
- 5B. GonzálezM
- 25R. AlvaradoM
- 10E. ÁlvarezM
- 30Santiago SandovalF
Coach: G. Milito
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Leon | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.7 | 0.9 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 8 | Leon | 15 | +2 | 22 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Guadalajara Chivas 5-0 Leon
- 2025 Leon 1-0 Guadalajara Chivas
- 2025 Leon 2-1 Guadalajara Chivas
- 2024 Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 Leon
- 2024 Guadalajara Chivas 1-2 Leon
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.05 – 1.58
- Double chance
- X2 · 75%1X 51% · 12 74%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 35%Leon–Guadalajara Chivas
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 21% · 2 37%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 30%X/2 17% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.14.0 – 6.1 · Over 9.5: 55%
- Expected cards
- 4.52.4 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 64%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Chivas carry momentum into a key test
Three consecutive wins have lifted Guadalajara Chivas into second place in Liga MX’s Apertura, and they arrive at León unbeaten in five. With 29 points from 15 matches, they hold a seven-point advantage over eighth-placed León, who have 22. The hosts have a clear chance to narrow that gap, but the visitors’ current run makes this a test of their staying power as well as their position.
Contrasting recent form
Chivas’ last five league matches have brought three wins and two draws, with eight goals scored and four conceded. Their latest result was a victory, extending their winning streak to three. Their away record adds to the confidence: three wins and four draws in seven league trips, with only five goals conceded.
León have had a less convincing spell, taking one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five league games. They scored eight but conceded nine across that run, and their most recent league match ended in defeat. At home, however, they have won four of seven, alongside one draw and two losses.
Recent meetings offer León hope
León have won three of the last five meetings, with Chivas winning two and no draws. The most recent encounter, in March, was a 5-0 Chivas victory, while two of those five meetings featured two goals or fewer. That mix of results offers both sides reason for belief: Chivas have the latest emphatic result, but León have the edge across the full five-game sequence.
The defensive contrast
Chivas have conceded 14 goals in 15 league matches and kept six clean sheets. León have scored 22 and conceded 20 in the same number of games, with four clean sheets. The visitors’ record away from home is particularly solid, with five goals conceded in seven matches, while León’s home attack has produced 13 goals.
What could decide the match
Chivas’ ability to combine an unbeaten run with a disciplined away record is central to the contest. They have scored eight times across their last five league games while allowing only four, and their overall goal difference of +11 compares with León’s +2. León will need to make their home advantage count and improve on the defensive return of their recent run.
Our prediction
Chivas’ three straight wins, stronger league position and resilient away record make them the more convincing choice, though León’s home form should keep the contest close. The statistical outlook leans toward the visitors, with their defensive solidity giving them an edge in a tight match.
Leon 0-1 Guadalajara Chivas

