Copa del Rey · Round of 128 
Copa del Rey preview: table gap and recent meetings set the tone for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés
A clash between a Segunda División RFEF side and a Primera División RFEF challenger: recent results between these clubs show tight encounters with Logroñés enjoying the edge in the most recent meeting.
📍 Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Preview written:
Match facts
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| UD Logroñés | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Last meetings
- 2026UD Logroñés4-1Amorebieta
- 2025Amorebieta2-1UD Logroñés
- 2023Amorebieta1-0UD Logroñés
- 2022UD Logroñés1-1Amorebieta
- 2021Amorebieta1-1UD Logroñés
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.12 – 1.49
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 55% · X2 72%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 23% – 33%Amorebieta–UD Logroñés
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 23% · 2 34%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 27%X/X 17% · 1/1 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.65.3 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 49%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-110%
- 1-29%
- 0-28%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
League positions frame the tie
This Copa del Rey Round of 128 tie pairs Amorebieta, sixth in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 with 13 points from eight games, against a higher-ranked UD Logroñés, second in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 with 20 points from nine matches. The division gap gives Logroñés clear status as the higher-level side heading into the one-off cup fixture at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Recent form in their respective campaigns
Both clubs have picked up wins in their league runs. Amorebieta’s current string in the league reads WWLWL across eight matches, while UD Logroñés arrive on the back of WDLWW from nine games. That domestic form suggests Logroñés are marginally more consistent, though both teams have shown they can find the net in recent weeks.
What the meetings tell us
Their last five meetings reveal a rivalry that usually produces close scorelines, with four of the five results separated by one or two goals. Logroñés delivered the heaviest recent win, a 4-1 victory in January 2026 in Segunda División RFEF Group 2, but Amorebieta have also beaten them at Urritxe (2-1 in October 2025) and previously eked out a 1-0 in 2023. Draws in 2022 and a friendly in 2021 further underline how competitive these fixtures have been: home advantage has not been decisive across the sequence.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model points to a narrow, low-scoring cup tie in which the higher-division side does just enough to advance. UD Logroñés have the edge from their league standing and more consistent recent form, while historical meetings suggest tight margins rather than blowouts. Expect a single decisive moment for the visitors in a compact game.
Amorebieta 0-1 UD Logroñés
⚑ Report a mistakeEditorial policy
Copa del Rey table All previews that day
More Copa del Rey previews
Copa del Rey 
Alcoyano 
Mallorca Our pick0–0
Alcoyano arrive in confident mood after three wins in four, while Mallorca bring Segunda experience and a steadier league campaign; a single Copa del Rey tie decides who advances.
Read preview Copa del Rey 
Badajoz 
Tenerife Our pick0–1
Badajoz arrive on the back of a strong domestic run but face a Tenerife side with higher-level experience and a statistical edge that points to a narrow away win in the Copa del Rey opener.
Read preview Copa del Rey 
Calvo Sotelo 
Albacete Our pick0–1
Calvo Sotelo arrive with mixed league form and a chance to upset higher-tier opponents, while Albacete need a cup win to arrest a worrying run in the Segunda División.
Read preview Copa del Rey 
Mijas Las Lagunas 
Real Jaén Our pick1–2
Mijas Las Lagunas swept aside Real Jaén 3-0 in their last meeting; this Round of 128 tie pits Mijas's home momentum and confidence against Real Jaén's higher-division pedigree and slightly stronger profile in the model.
Read preview