Knockout tension at El Collao as Alcoyano ride recent run against Mallorca

What progression means here

For Alcoyano, a win at El Collao would be a major boost: the Segunda División RFEF side can use a cup upset to raise the club’s profile and reward a run of good form. For Mallorca, a Segunda División club, advancing is about avoiding an early exit and maintaining momentum across competitions — a defeat would be a missed opportunity to assert their higher-level status.

Alcoyano’s recent momentum

Alcoyano have won three of their last five league outings (form: LLWWW), a sequence that should give home fans belief on cup night. That sequence contrasts with their lower-division standing; they sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 with 10 points from seven matches.

Mallorca’s steadier campaign

Mallorca arrive from a higher division and 7th place in the Segunda División with 19 points from 11 games. Their recent league form reads DDWDL, a mixed run that suggests resilience but not free-scoring dominance.

Tactical balance and numbers to note

PreviaXI’s model points to a tight tie. The expected-goals projections are low and close — 0.75 for Alcoyano and 0.81 for Mallorca — suggesting limited clear chances for either side. The model also anticipates more corners for the home side, which hints Alcoyano may try to press and deliver set-piece opportunities, while Mallorca could look to control possession and probe for openings.

Our prediction

This is a classic small-club cup test against a side from a higher division: Alcoyano’s confidence at El Collao meets Mallorca’s more established league form, and the numbers suggest chances will be scarce. PreviaXI’s model favours a stalemate driven by tight defending and few clear-cut opportunities, so expect a low-scoring match where extra time would suit the visitors’ fitness and experience.

Alcoyano 0-0 Mallorca