UEFA Champions League – League phase, matchday 4: predictions & previews
All 18 matches of UEFA Champions League League phase, matchday 4 (3 November – 4 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.
Key numbers
- Biggest favourite: Viking (69% to win against Sabah FA).
- Closest on paper: Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart (39% vs 38%, draw 23%).
- Most goals expected: PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV (4.1 expected goals); fewest: Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP (2.4).
- Both teams to score is more likely than not in 16 of 18 matches.
- The model expects about 58 goals in these 18 matches (3.20 per match).
All matches
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Galatasaray VfB Stuttgart | 39% | 23% | 38% | 1277% | 67% | 68% | 9.75.4–4.3 | 4.11.9–2.2 | Preview | ||
 Shakhtar Donetsk Sporting CP | 36% | 29% | 35% | 1271% | 44% | 50% | 7.03.9–3.1 | 5.12.6–2.5 | Preview | ||
 Atletico Madrid Bayern München | 24% | 21% | 55% | 1279% | 72% | 70% | 10.05.0–5.0 | 3.51.8–1.7 | Preview | ||
 Barcelona Aston Villa | 62% | 20% | 18% | 1X82% | 70% | 64% | 9.65.9–3.7 | 3.81.8–2.0 | Preview | ||
 Bodo/Glimt Lille | 52% | 24% | 24% | 1X76% | 56% | 57% | 9.84.5–5.3 | 4.01.5–2.5 | Preview | ||
 Feyenoord Inter | 32% | 24% | 44% | 1276% | 64% | 65% | 8.74.5–4.2 | 3.31.5–1.8 | Preview | ||
 Lask Linz Slovan Bratislava | 67% | 19% | 14% | 1X86% | 65% | 57% | 10.46.3–4.1 | 4.02.1–1.9 | Preview | ||
 Manchester United AS Roma | 47% | 24% | 29% | 1276% | 60% | 62% | 9.05.0–4.0 | 4.22.0–2.2 | Preview | ||
 Villarreal Paris Saint Germain | 31% | 24% | 45% | 1276% | 61% | 63% | 8.83.7–5.1 | 3.11.7–1.4 | Preview |
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AEK Athens FC Real Madrid | 31% | 26% | 43% | 1274% | 55% | 59% | 10.24.9–5.3 | 4.12.1–2.0 | Preview | ||
 Fenerbahçe Liverpool | 30% | 25% | 45% | 1275% | 56% | 59% | 10.94.8–6.1 | 4.62.4–2.2 | Preview | ||
 Borussia Dortmund Real Betis | 53% | 24% | 23% | 1X77% | 58% | 58% | 9.56.0–3.5 | 3.92.0–1.9 | Preview | ||
 FC Porto Napoli | 50% | 27% | 23% | 1X77% | 44% | 48% | 8.14.5–3.6 | 3.61.7–1.9 | Preview | ||
 Lens Como | 36% | 25% | 39% | 1275% | 59% | 62% | 9.25.2–4.0 | 4.32.1–2.2 | Preview | ||
 PSV Eindhoven Club Brugge KV | 49% | 21% | 30% | 1279% | 77% | 75% | 11.16.5–4.6 | 3.72.0–1.7 | Preview | ||
 RB Leipzig Manchester City | 27% | 22% | 51% | 1278% | 68% | 67% | 10.33.9–6.4 | 3.01.4–1.6 | Preview | ||
 Slavia Praha Arsenal | 20% | 26% | 54% | X280% | 48% | 49% | 8.93.3–5.6 | 3.81.9–1.9 | Preview | ||
 Viking Sabah FA | 69% | 17% | 14% | 1X86% | 76% | 67% | 10.86.0–4.8 | 4.01.9–2.1 | Preview |
Doha time