Real Betis put their winning run to the test in Dortmund
Real Betis arrive with three straight Champions League wins and sit fifth after three league-phase matches. Borussia Dortmund are six points behind, but their home advantage gives them a chance to halt the visitors’ momentum.
📍 Signal Iduna Park
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 4 matches
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Real Betis | 2.3 | 1.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | +1 | 6 |
Absences
Borussia Dortmund
- OutE. Can · Knee Injury
- OutG. Konstantelias · Knee Injury
- OutJ. Lerma · Muscle Injury
Real Betis
- OutI. Losada · Coach's decision
- DoubtfulJ. Firpo · Groin Injury
- DoubtfulC. Hernandez · Calf Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.84 – 1.16
- Double chance
- 1X · 77%12 76% · X2 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Clean sheet
- 31% – 16%Borussia Dortmund–Real Betis
- Half-time result
- 1 · 40%X 39% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 33%X/1 17% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 9.56.0 – 3.5 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 3.92.0 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 55%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-08%
- 1-26%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Borussia Dortmund
- Power ratings: Borussia Dortmund +2.06 goals per game (19th of 430 in Europe), Real Betis +1.70 (40th).
- Borussia Dortmund's attack (2.77 goals per game) meets Real Betis's defence (0.86 conceded per game).
- Real Betis's attack (2.56) meets Borussia Dortmund's defence (0.71).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 21% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.84 – 1.16 goals: Borussia Dortmund 53%, draw 24%, Real Betis 23%.
Betis carry the momentum
Real Betis take a three-match winning run in the Champions League league phase to Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday, with Borussia Dortmund the next test of a perfect start. Betis have won all three of their opening matches and sit fifth on nine points; Dortmund are 13th with six points after two wins and one defeat.
The gap is already three points, making this a valuable opportunity for Dortmund to close in on the visitors. For Betis, another victory would extend their run and strengthen a position among the league phase’s leading sides.
Goals at both ends
The competition-only numbers underline why Betis will travel with confidence: they have scored seven goals across three matches, including three in their away fixture, while also conceding four. Dortmund have scored five and conceded four in the same number of Champions League games.
Both sides have found the net regularly, but neither has kept a clean sheet in these three matches. Betis’ run is the headline; Dortmund’s task is to turn home advantage into a result against a side that has scored more often so far.
No recent meeting to draw on
There is no recent head-to-head record to shape the build-up, leaving the teams’ contrasting starts in this competition as the clearest guide. Betis have three wins from three, while Dortmund’s two victories have come alongside one loss.
Dortmund have several absences
Borussia Dortmund will be without E. Can and G. Konstantelias because of knee injuries, while J. Lerma is missing with a muscle injury. For Betis, I. Losada is out by the coach’s decision. J. Firpo and C. Hernandez are both questionable with groin and calf injuries respectively.
Betis’ attack faces a stern test
Betis’ seven goals in three league-phase matches make their attack the obvious threat to Dortmund. Their scoring has not been limited to home games: they have also scored three times in their one away match in the competition.
Dortmund, meanwhile, have scored five across their three matches and will look to make the most of playing at Signal Iduna Park. With four goals conceded by each team in the competition, there is reason to expect chances at both ends.
Our prediction
Betis’ unbeaten run makes this a difficult assignment, but Dortmund’s home setting and the stronger attacking outlook point towards a narrow home win. PreviaXI’s model also favours Dortmund, with a close scoreline reflecting Betis’ ability to score.
Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis

