UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
Lens
Doha time
Como

Can Lens Trouble In-Form Como in the Champions League?

Como arrive in Lens with a three-point advantage and a stronger start to the league phase, but the home side will look to make their ground count. Lens need a response after conceding seven goals in their last three matches.

📍 Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Preview written:

Match facts

Recent form

LensWLL
ComoWLW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Lens1.02.3
Como3.31.7

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
9Como3+56
27Lens3-43

Absences

Lens

  • OutJ. Chavez · Coach's decision
  • OutO. Edouard · Groin Injury
  • OutI. Ganiou · Knee Injury
  • OutI. Jourdren · Off the roster
  • OutM. Nawrocki · Knee Injury
  • OutA. Sima · Muscle Injury

Como

  • OutJ. Addai · Muscle Injury
  • OutT. Chalobah · Injury
  • OutA. Diao · Thigh Injury
  • OutE. Goldaniga · Off the roster
  • OutW. Kambwala · Off the roster
  • OutM. Kean · Leg Injury
  • OutA. Lahdo · Off the roster
  • OutJ. Rodriguez · Injury

PreviaXI model

Lens36%Draw25%Como39%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals (model)
1.50 – 1.56
Double chance
12 · 75%1X 61% · X2 64%
Over 2.5 goals
59%Over 1.5: 82% · Over 3.5: 37%
Both teams score
62%
Clean sheet
21% – 22%Lens–Como
Half-time result
X · 39%1 30% · 2 31%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 23%1/1 22% · X/X 14%
Expected corners
9.25.2 – 4.0 · Over 9.5: 44%
Expected cards
4.32.1 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 61%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-112%
  2. 1-29%
  3. 2-18%
  4. 0-17%
  5. 1-07%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model sees a close match

  • Power ratings: Lens +1.94 goals per game (26th of 430 in Europe), Como +1.95 (25th).
  • Lens's attack (2.87 goals per game) meets Como's defence (0.68 conceded per game).
  • Como's attack (2.63) meets Lens's defence (0.93).
  • Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 21% more goals.
  • Put together, the model expects 1.50 – 1.56 goals: Lens 36%, draw 25%, Como 39%.

Power ratings: Europe: top 50 clubs →

Lens face a sharp contrast

Como travel to Stade Bollaert-Delelis with six points from three matches in the Champions League league phase, placing them ninth. Lens have three points and sit 27th, so the home side have ground to make up as the competition continues.

The gap is clear, but Lens can still make this a difficult night for the visitors. Their home crowd offers a chance to disrupt a Como side that has been more productive in front of goal, while the standings leave both teams with a reason to push for a result.

Como’s attacking edge

Across their last three matches, Como have scored 10 goals and conceded five. Lens have scored three and let in seven over the same number of games. That contrast points to the challenge facing the home side: they must tighten up without losing the threat needed to trouble Como.

In the Champions League, Como have won two of their three fixtures, scoring 10 goals. Lens have one win from three and have conceded seven. Those competition figures suggest the visitors have been the more convincing side so far, though Lens will hope home advantage can shift the balance.

No recent meeting

There is no recent head-to-head record to frame this encounter, leaving the teams’ current league-phase positions and form as the main reference points.

Absences on both sides

Lens will be without J. Chavez, O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, I. Jourdren, M. Nawrocki and A. Sima. Edouard, Ganiou, Nawrocki and Sima are listed with injuries, while Chavez is absent by the coach’s decision and Jourdren is off the roster.

Como have eight absentees: J. Addai, T. Chalobah, A. Diao, E. Goldaniga, W. Kambwala, M. Kean, A. Lahdo and J. Rodriguez. Addai and Diao have muscle and thigh injuries respectively; Kean is out with a leg injury, while Chalobah and Rodriguez are listed with injuries. Goldaniga, Kambwala and Lahdo are off the roster.

Como’s goals, Lens’ response

Como’s 10 goals in three Champions League matches make their attack the clear danger for Lens. The home side, meanwhile, need to improve on their recent defensive record and find more than the three goals scored across their last three games if they are to put the visitors under sustained pressure.

Our prediction

Como’s stronger scoring record and better league-phase position give them a narrow edge, although Lens have enough at home to make the contest competitive. PreviaXI’s model leans slightly towards the visitors, with both sides capable of finding the net.

Lens 1-2 Como

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