UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4 
Feyenoord vs Inter: a narrow gap, a vital edge
Both clubs have three points after three Champions League matches, with Inter five places above Feyenoord on goal difference. Their recent meetings went Inter’s way, but Feyenoord will look to make home advantage count.
📍 Stadion Feijenoord
Preview written: · Team news checked:
All League phase, matchday 4 matches
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Inter | 1.7 | 2.0 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.50 – 1.80
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 56% · X2 68%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 42%
- Both teams score
- 65%
- Clean sheet
- 16% – 22%Feyenoord–Inter
- Half-time result
- X · 37%1 27% · 2 36%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 27%1/1 19% · X/2 14%
- Expected corners
- 8.74.5 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 38%
- Expected cards
- 3.31.5 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 42%
- Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 2-17%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Inter
- Power ratings: Feyenoord +1.73 goals per game (38th of 430 in Europe), Inter +2.52 (7th).
- Feyenoord's attack (2.59 goals per game) meets Inter's defence (0.75 conceded per game).
- Inter's attack (3.27) meets Feyenoord's defence (0.86).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 21% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.50 – 1.80 goals: Feyenoord 32%, draw 24%, Inter 44%.
Key trends
- Inter have scored in each of their last 25 matches.
- Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 14 home matches.
- 6 of Inter’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Absences
Feyenoord
- OutT. Beelen · Broken Leg
- OutJ. Bos · Knee Injury
- OutR. Nelson · Muscle Injury
- OutB. Nieuwkoop · Knee Injury
- OutG. Smal · Ankle Injury
- OutJ. St. Juste · Leg Injury
- OutS. van Persie · Knock
Inter
- OutA. Bastoni · Red Card
- OutC. Jones · Thigh Injury
- OutLuis Henrique · Thigh Injury
- OutL. Martinez · Thigh Injury
- OutB. Pavard · Thigh Injury
- OutJ. Stones · Muscle Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Feyenoord
- A. Hadj-Moussa7 goals in 12 games23%
- A. Ueda3 goals in 4 games21%
- Nacho Ferri6 goals in 12 games19%
Inter
- M. Thuram5 goals in 11 games23%
- Carlos Augusto4 goals in 9 games21%
- H. Çalhanoğlu3 goals in 10 games14%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | Feyenoord | Inter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-4-0 | 2-3-0 | 8-1-1 | 3-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 3.00 | 2.40 | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.09 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| xG per game | 2.67 | 2.73 | 2.68 | 2.70 |
| xG against per game | 0.96 | 0.87 | 1.07 | 1.08 |
| Scored in | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 100% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 64% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Shots per game | 20.0 | 22.6 | 22.0 | 19.8 |
| Shots on target per game | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 6.0 |
| Shots on target | 41% | 35% | 33% | 30% |
| Possession | 55% | 58% | 63% | 61% |
| Passes per game | 510.6 | 553.2 | 613.7 | 609.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89% | 90% | 89% |
| Corners per game | 6.3 | 7.2 | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| Corners against per game | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 4.0 |
| Cards per game | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Fouls per game | 8.8 | 7.4 | 9.3 | 9.2 |
League matches this season (Eredivisie / Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Feyenoord
- 0-154 / 1
- 16-305 / 2
- 31-457 / 3
- 46-607 / 2
- 61-757 / 3
- 76-90+2 / 3
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Inter
- 0-153 / 5
- 16-303 / 2
- 31-453 / 2
- 46-605 / 2
- 61-753 / 1
- 76-90+7 / 3
Usual formation: 3-5-2
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | +5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Table as of
Next matches
Feyenoord
- Sun 8 NovHeerenveen – FeyenoordEredivisie
- Sat 21 NovFeyenoord – ExcelsiorEredivisie
- Tue 24 NovFeyenoord – FC PortoUEFA Champions League
Inter
- Sun 8 NovInter – ComoSerie A
- Sun 22 NovAtalanta – InterSerie A
- Wed 25 NovInter – VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League
Head-to-head: last 2 meetings
Feyenoord 0 wins · 0 draws · Inter 2 wins
- 11/03/2025Inter2-1FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
- 05/03/2025Feyenoord0-2InterUEFA Champions League
A small gap, a big opportunity
Inter and Feyenoord arrive at this fourth league-phase match level on three points, with little separating them beyond goal difference. Inter sit 20th in the 36-team standings, while Feyenoord are 26th; both have played three matches, but Feyenoord’s goal difference is three goals worse. With the standings so close, a result in Rotterdam could give either side a valuable push.
Goals at both ends
Across their three matches in this competition, Feyenoord have scored four goals and conceded eight. Inter have found the net five times and let in six. Neither side has kept a clean sheet across those games, and the figures point to a contest where defensive control may be as decisive as attacking quality.
Inter have had the upper hand
The sides last met in March 2025, when Inter beat Feyenoord 2-1 at home in the Champions League. Inter also won the first leg in Rotterdam, 2-0, earlier that month. Feyenoord therefore have recent ground to make up against their Italian visitors.
Absences on both sides
Feyenoord are without T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, J. St. Juste and S. van Persie. Inter are missing A. Bastoni through suspension, along with C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard and J. Stones.
Inter’s slight attacking advantage
Inter have scored one more goal than Feyenoord across their three Champions League matches, while conceding two fewer. That modest edge could matter in a close game, though both teams’ defensive records suggest chances should be available. Feyenoord’s home crowd offers a counterweight as they seek to turn a narrow standings gap into a decisive result.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model leans towards Inter, whose stronger goal difference and slightly better scoring record give them the edge, even away from home. Feyenoord should still create enough to threaten, but Inter look likelier to make their chances count.
Feyenoord 1-2 Inter
⚑ Report a mistakeEditorial policy
UEFA Champions League table All previews that day
More UEFA Champions League previews
UEFA Champions League 
Atletico Madrid 
Bayern München Our pick1–2
Atletico Madrid have scored four goals across their three latest matches, while Bayern München have struck ten. With only one point separating them in the League Phase, the meeting offers both sides a chance to gain ground.
Read preview UEFA Champions League 
Barcelona 
Aston Villa Our pick2–1
Aston Villa arrive second in the league phase with a perfect record, three points ahead of eighth-placed Barcelona. A home win would bring the sides level on points and sharpen the race near the top.
Read preview UEFA Champions League 
Bodo/Glimt 
Lille Our pick2–1
Lille arrive at Bodo/Glimt with three losses from three in the Champions League league phase and a six-point deficit to their hosts. Bodo/Glimt’s home record in this competition offers a difficult test for a side seeking its first points.
Read preview UEFA Champions League 
Lask Linz 
Slovan Bratislava Our pick2–0
Slovan Bratislava arrive bottom of the Champions League league-phase table, still chasing their first point after three matches. Lask Linz sit 24th on three points and will look to build on their advantage.
Read preview