Arsenal’s unbeaten record offers the edge against Slavia Praha
Arsenal return to Prague with their unbeaten record against Slavia Praha intact after three meetings. The Gunners are also better placed in the Champions League standings, while Slavia need a result to revive their campaign.
📍 Sinobo Stadium
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 4 matches
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Arsenal | 2.0 | 0.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2025Slavia Praha0-3Arsenal
- 2021Slavia Praha0-4Arsenal
- 2021Arsenal1-1Slavia Praha
Absences
Slavia Praha
- OutT. Chory · Coach's decision
- OutH. Kante · Off the roster
- OutO. Kolar · Off the roster
- OutJ. Markovic · Injury
- OutI. Ogbu · Achilles Tendon Injury
- OutA. Ouanda · Injury
- OutI. Schranz · Health problems
- DoubtfulS. Isife · Illness
- DoubtfulE. Pitak · Health problems
- DoubtfulL. Provod · Injury
Arsenal
- OutB. Saka · Thigh Injury
- OutW. Saliba · Back Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.92 – 1.65
- Double chance
- X2 · 80%1X 46% · 12 74%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 26%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Clean sheet
- 19% – 40%Slavia Praha–Arsenal
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 18% · 2 40%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 33%X/2 18% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 8.93.3 – 5.6 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 3.81.9 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 51%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-112%
- 0-210%
- 1-210%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Arsenal
- Power ratings: Slavia Praha +1.74 goals per game (35th of 430 in Europe), Arsenal +2.71 (5th).
- Slavia Praha's attack (2.56 goals per game) meets Arsenal's defence (0.46 conceded per game).
- Arsenal's attack (3.17) meets Slavia Praha's defence (0.82).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 21% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 0.92 – 1.65 goals: Slavia Praha 20%, draw 26%, Arsenal 54%.
A meeting with different stakes
Arsenal can strengthen their position in the Champions League league phase, while Slavia Praha need points to lift a campaign that has started with just one from three matches. Arsenal are seventh on seven points; Slavia sit 32nd with one. At Sinobo Stadium, the hosts face a familiar opponent they have yet to beat.
Contrasting Champions League form
Across their three Champions League matches, Arsenal have taken two wins and a draw, scoring six goals and conceding twice. Slavia have one draw and two defeats in the competition, with four goals scored and seven conceded. The gap is also reflected in the standings: Arsenal have a goal difference of plus four, Slavia minus three.
Arsenal still unbeaten in this matchup
Arsenal have not lost any of the three recent meetings between the sides. They drew 1-1 in London in April 2021, then won 4-0 in Prague a week later in the Europa League. Their latest meeting, in the Champions League in November 2025, ended in another emphatic Arsenal victory, 3-0 away from home.
That record gives the visitors a clear psychological foothold, though Slavia will hope home advantage can make this contest more difficult than the last one in Prague.
Absences to shape the contest
Slavia have a lengthy list of players set to miss out, including T. Chory, H. Kante, O. Kolar, J. Markovic, I. Ogbu, A. Ouanda and I. Schranz. I. Ogbu is listed with an Achilles tendon injury, while J. Markovic and A. Ouanda are also absent through injury. S. Isife, E. Pitak and L. Provod are doubts.
Arsenal are without B. Saka and W. Saliba, both listed with injuries. Their absences will test the visitors, but Arsenal’s stronger start in the competition and excellent recent record against Slavia remain significant.
The numbers favour Arsenal
The league-phase results point to Arsenal’s greater attacking output and defensive solidity: they have scored six and conceded two, compared with Slavia’s four scored and seven conceded. The model’s most likely outcome is a narrow away win, with Arsenal’s better balance across the three matches giving them the advantage.
Our prediction
Slavia’s home crowd and Arsenal’s absences could keep the contest close, but the visitors’ unbeaten record in this fixture and stronger Champions League start make them the more convincing pick. A disciplined Arsenal performance should be enough for a fourth match without defeat against Slavia.
Slavia Praha 0-1 Arsenal

