Primeira Liga – Matchday 10: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Primeira Liga Matchday 10 (30 October – 2 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Europe

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: FC Porto (76% to win against Estoril).
Closest on paper: Moreirense – Estrela (36% vs 39%, draw 25%).
Most goals expected: Benfica – Alverca (3.2 expected goals); fewest: Maritimo – Santa Clara (2.1).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 3 of 9 matches.
The model expects about 24 goals in these 9 matches (2.68 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 7 · most likely result correct: 6 (86%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 3 (43%) · both teams to score correct: 6 (86%)

Friday 30 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
23:15	Casa PiaSporting CP	11%	17%	72%	X289%	56%	45%	10.23.2–7.0	5.23.0–2.2	0-2✅	Preview

Saturday 31 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
18:30	MoreirenseEstrela	36%	25%	39%	1275%	49%	53%	8.04.4–3.6	5.02.6–2.4	2-1❌	Preview
23:30	FC PortoEstoril	76%	15%	9%	1X91%	58%	43%	9.56.4–3.1	4.31.7–2.6	4-0✅	Preview

Sunday 1 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
18:30	AroucaNacional	48%	24%	28%	1276%	51%	53%	9.65.0–4.6	5.72.9–2.8	1-0✅	Preview
21:00	Academico ViseuRio Ave	58%	21%	21%	1X79%	54%	52%	9.24.7–4.5	4.42.2–2.2	2-1✅	Preview
21:00	MaritimoSanta Clara	27%	28%	45%	X273%	35%	41%	8.14.0–4.1	5.22.4–2.8	0-2✅	Preview
23:30	SC BragaFamalicao	47%	25%	28%	1275%	42%	46%	8.95.3–3.6	5.02.3–2.7	3-0✅	Preview

Monday 2 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
23:15	BenficaAlverca	73%	16%	11%	1X89%	61%	49%	9.66.9–2.7	5.02.1–2.9		Preview
23:15	GIL VicenteVitória SC	46%	26%	28%	1274%	42%	46%	8.64.5–4.1	4.82.4–2.4		Preview

Doha time