Primeira Liga – Matchday 9: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Primeira Liga Matchday 9 (23 October – 26 October 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Europe

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Sporting CP (72% to win against Academico Viseu).
Closest on paper: Vitória SC – Maritimo (48% vs 27%, draw 25%).
Most goals expected: Sporting CP – Academico Viseu (3.3 expected goals); fewest: GIL Vicente – FC Porto (2.2).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 5 of 9 matches.
The model expects about 23 goals in these 9 matches (2.59 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 4 · most likely result correct: 2 (50%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 2 (50%) · both teams to score correct: 2 (50%)

Friday 23 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
22:45	Vitória SCMaritimo	48%	25%	27%	1275%	45%	49%	7.84.9–2.9	4.52.3–2.2	5-0✅	Preview

Saturday 24 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
17:30	EstrelaCasa Pia	51%	24%	25%	1276%	49%	51%	9.65.0–4.6	5.52.5–3.0	0-2❌	Preview
20:00	AlvercaArouca	48%	25%	27%	1275%	50%	53%	8.75.5–3.2	5.22.4–2.8	0-1❌	Preview
22:30	GIL VicenteFC Porto	22%	26%	52%	X278%	39%	42%	8.63.8–4.8	4.72.6–2.1	0-1✅	Preview

Sunday 25 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	·
18:30	EstorilMoreirense	48%	25%	27%	1275%	47%	50%	8.24.8–3.4	4.32.1–2.2	Preview
21:00	NacionalSC Braga	23%	23%	54%	1277%	53%	53%	9.13.4–5.7	5.22.8–2.4	Preview
21:00	Rio AveFamalicao	26%	26%	48%	1274%	41%	45%	11.34.6–6.7	4.72.5–2.2	Preview
23:30	Sporting CPAcademico Viseu	72%	16%	12%	1X88%	64%	52%	9.06.6–2.4	5.02.0–3.0	Preview

Monday 26 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
21:45	Santa ClaraBenfica	21%	25%	54%	X279%	40%	42%	9.73.0–6.7	5.73.3–2.4		Preview

Doha time