Primeira Liga · Matchday 9
Sporting CP
Doha time
Academico Viseu

Can Academico Viseu's winning run survive a trip to Sporting?

Academico Viseu arrive in Lisbon on four straight wins, but they face a Sporting side that has not lost a league game this season.

📍 Estádio José Alvalade

Match facts

Recent form

Sporting CPWWDDW
Academico ViseuLWWWW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Sporting CP2.51.1
Academico Viseu1.41.3

PreviaXI model

Sporting CP72%Draw16%Academico Viseu12%
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals (model)
2.42 – 0.87
Double chance
1X · 88%12 84% · X2 28%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams score
53%
Expected corners
9.16.7 – 2.4 · Over 9.5: 42%
Expected cards
5.02.0 – 3.0 · Over 3.5: 70%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model leans towards Sporting CP

  • Power ratings: Sporting CP +1.23 goals per game (2nd of 18 in Primeira Liga), Academico Viseu -0.03 (10th).
  • Sporting CP's attack (2.12 goals per game) meets Academico Viseu's defence (1.40 conceded per game).
  • Academico Viseu's attack (1.37) meets Sporting CP's defence (0.89).
  • Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 17% more goals.
  • Put together, the model expects 2.42 – 0.87 goals: Sporting CP 72%, draw 16%, Academico Viseu 12%.

Power ratings: Primeira Liga →

Chance to score

Sporting CP

  • L. Suárez11 goals in 11 games54%
  • R. Zalazar3 goals in 9 games22%
  • Flávio Gonçalves3 goals in 9 games20%

Academico Viseu

  • André Clóvis4 goals in 8 games20%
  • S. Messeguem2 goals in 8 games11%
  • C. Kahraman1 goals in 8 games5%

Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.

Trends

  • Sporting CP have scored in each of their last 17 matches.
  • Academico Viseu have won their last 4 matches.
  • Academico Viseu are unbeaten in their last 6 away matches.

Season stats

·Sporting CPAcademico Viseu
·AllHomeAllAway
Won-drawn-lost5-3-03-1-04-2-22-2-0
Goals scored per game2.502.501.381.75
Goals conceded per game1.121.251.251.00
xG per game1.881.891.221.45
xG against per game0.900.951.711.86
Scored in100%100%75%100%
Clean sheets25%25%25%50%
Failed to score0%0%25%0%
Both teams scored75%75%50%50%
Over 1.5 goals100%100%75%75%
Over 2.5 goals75%75%62%50%
Over 3.5 goals75%75%25%50%
Shots per game12.912.29.88.5
Shots on target per game5.55.23.43.8
Shots on target43%43%35%45%
Possession59%59%47%41%
Passes per game552.2565.5390.6338.8
Pass accuracy––83%–
Corners per game4.66.02.82.5
Corners against per game2.91.85.26.5
Cards per game2.53.02.93.8
Fouls per game11.611.014.413.2

League matches this season (Primeira Liga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.

When goals come

Sporting CP

  • 0-154 / 0
  • 16-304 / 0
  • 31-454 / 0
  • 46-604 / 1
  • 61-751 / 4
  • 76-90+4 / 3

Usual formation: 4-2-3-1

Academico Viseu

  • 0-152 / 3
  • 16-303 / 1
  • 31-451 / 1
  • 46-602 / 2
  • 61-751 / 2
  • 76-90+2 / 1

Usual formation: 4-3-3

Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsRecent form
1FC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2Benfica861124:7+1719WLWWW
3Sporting CP853020:9+1118WDDWW
4Santa Clara853012:4+818WDWWD
5Arouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico Viseu842211:10+114WWWWL
7GIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8Alverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC Braga83239:10-111LLDWL
10Estrela924314:17-310LLLDW
11Vitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
12Moreirense82248:15-78LDWLL
13Maritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
14Famalicao814310:11-17LWDDD
15Rio Ave82158:17-97WLDLL
16Casa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17Nacional81169:18-94LLLLL
18Estoril80264:12-82LLLDL

Next matches

Sporting CP

  • Tue 27 OctSporting CP – Maritimo
  • Fri 30 OctCasa Pia – Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
  • Tue 3 NovShakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CPUEFA Champions League

Academico Viseu

  • Wed 28 OctFC Porto – Academico Viseu
  • Sun 1 NovAcademico Viseu – Rio AvePrimeira Liga
  • Sat 7 NovNacional – Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga

Academico Viseu travel to Lisbon riding a run of four consecutive wins, the kind of momentum that has been hard to build in this Primeira Liga season. The question for Sunday is whether that streak can survive the Estádio José Alvalade.

A climb into the top half

Viseu sit seventh in the 18-team league with 14 points from eight matches and a goal difference of +1. Sporting CP are third with 18 points and a +11 goal difference, and they have yet to taste defeat in this campaign.

Form on both sides

Sporting’s season sequence reads DWWWWDDW: five wins and three draws. They have scored 20 times and conceded nine, and in their last five outings they have found the net 12 times while conceding only four. Their home record is especially solid, with three wins and a draw from four matches and no defeats.

Viseu have been more productive on the road than at home. Their away results read two wins and two draws from four trips, and they have kept two clean sheets in eight games. Over their last five, they have scored seven and conceded five, so their recent wins have been tight, low-scoring affairs rather than goal-fests. Keeping that defensive discipline against a side with Sporting’s attacking reach will be the central challenge.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Sporting, and the football reasoning backs it up. Sporting create the bulk of the chances, have a strong home record, and have conceded most of their goals late in matches, which suggests the home side can wear down a disciplined visitor. Viseu have shown they can grind out results, and the early minutes will be crucial for them. Still, the gap in quality and at home looks decisive, and the streak may end here.

Sporting CP 2-0 Academico Viseu

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