Can Academico Viseu's winning run survive a trip to Sporting?
Academico Viseu arrive in Lisbon on four straight wins, but they face a Sporting side that has not lost a league game this season.
📍 Estádio José Alvalade
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Academico Viseu | 1.4 | 1.3 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.42 – 0.87
- Double chance
- 1X · 88%12 84% · X2 28%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Expected corners
- 9.16.7 – 2.4 · Over 9.5: 42%
- Expected cards
- 5.02.0 – 3.0 · Over 3.5: 70%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Sporting CP
- Power ratings: Sporting CP +1.23 goals per game (2nd of 18 in Primeira Liga), Academico Viseu -0.03 (10th).
- Sporting CP's attack (2.12 goals per game) meets Academico Viseu's defence (1.40 conceded per game).
- Academico Viseu's attack (1.37) meets Sporting CP's defence (0.89).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 17% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.42 – 0.87 goals: Sporting CP 72%, draw 16%, Academico Viseu 12%.
Chance to score
Sporting CP
- L. Suárez11 goals in 11 games54%
- R. Zalazar3 goals in 9 games22%
- Flávio Gonçalves3 goals in 9 games20%
Academico Viseu
- André Clóvis4 goals in 8 games20%
- S. Messeguem2 goals in 8 games11%
- C. Kahraman1 goals in 8 games5%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Sporting CP have scored in each of their last 17 matches.
- Academico Viseu have won their last 4 matches.
- Academico Viseu are unbeaten in their last 6 away matches.
Season stats
| · | Sporting CP | Academico Viseu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-0 | 3-1-0 | 4-2-2 | 2-2-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.50 | 2.50 | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.12 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| xG per game | 1.88 | 1.89 | 1.22 | 1.45 |
| xG against per game | 0.90 | 0.95 | 1.71 | 1.86 |
| Scored in | 100% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 62% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Shots per game | 12.9 | 12.2 | 9.8 | 8.5 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.5 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| Shots on target | 43% | 43% | 35% | 45% |
| Possession | 59% | 59% | 47% | 41% |
| Passes per game | 552.2 | 565.5 | 390.6 | 338.8 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 83% | – |
| Corners per game | 4.6 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners against per game | 2.9 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 6.5 |
| Cards per game | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| Fouls per game | 11.6 | 11.0 | 14.4 | 13.2 |
League matches this season (Primeira Liga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Sporting CP
- 0-154 / 0
- 16-304 / 0
- 31-454 / 0
- 46-604 / 1
- 61-751 / 4
- 76-90+4 / 3
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Academico Viseu
- 0-152 / 3
- 16-303 / 1
- 31-451 / 1
- 46-602 / 2
- 61-751 / 2
- 76-90+2 / 1
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +17 | 27 | |
| 2 | 8 | +17 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | +8 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | +5 | 17 | |
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | +1 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | -3 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 9 | -10 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | -1 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | -9 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | -12 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Next matches
Sporting CP
- Tue 27 OctSporting CP – Maritimo
- Fri 30 OctCasa Pia – Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
- Tue 3 NovShakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CPUEFA Champions League
Academico Viseu
- Wed 28 OctFC Porto – Academico Viseu
- Sun 1 NovAcademico Viseu – Rio AvePrimeira Liga
- Sat 7 NovNacional – Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga
Academico Viseu travel to Lisbon riding a run of four consecutive wins, the kind of momentum that has been hard to build in this Primeira Liga season. The question for Sunday is whether that streak can survive the Estádio José Alvalade.
A climb into the top half
Viseu sit seventh in the 18-team league with 14 points from eight matches and a goal difference of +1. Sporting CP are third with 18 points and a +11 goal difference, and they have yet to taste defeat in this campaign.
Form on both sides
Sporting’s season sequence reads DWWWWDDW: five wins and three draws. They have scored 20 times and conceded nine, and in their last five outings they have found the net 12 times while conceding only four. Their home record is especially solid, with three wins and a draw from four matches and no defeats.
Viseu have been more productive on the road than at home. Their away results read two wins and two draws from four trips, and they have kept two clean sheets in eight games. Over their last five, they have scored seven and conceded five, so their recent wins have been tight, low-scoring affairs rather than goal-fests. Keeping that defensive discipline against a side with Sporting’s attacking reach will be the central challenge.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Sporting, and the football reasoning backs it up. Sporting create the bulk of the chances, have a strong home record, and have conceded most of their goals late in matches, which suggests the home side can wear down a disciplined visitor. Viseu have shown they can grind out results, and the early minutes will be crucial for them. Still, the gap in quality and at home looks decisive, and the streak may end here.
Sporting CP 2-0 Academico Viseu

