0–2 Full time Sunday 1 November

Our pick0–1Correct result

Maritimo vs Santa Clara: Recent Meetings Point to a Tight Contest

Their last five meetings have produced two draws and three one-goal wins, with neither side establishing a clear head-to-head edge. Santa Clara arrive in stronger league form, but Maritimo have shown they can make this matchup close.

📍 Estádio do Marítimo

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 00:37

All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Santa Clara won 2-0 away to Maritimo. Tiago Ribeiro opened the scoring in the 36th minute, assisted by Guilherme Romão, giving the visitors a half-time lead. Vinicius lopes added a second in the 60th minute, with Emanuel Moreira providing the assist. No red cards were recorded.

Maritimo had more of the ball, with 52% possession, and registered 17 shots to Santa Clara’s 11. The home side also led the expected-goals count, 2.1 to 0.84, while shots on target were closer at 6-5 for Maritimo. Vinícius Lopes was the top-rated player, with an 8.2 rating. The 0-2 result was one goal wider than the model’s predicted 0-1, while its pre-match probabilities gave Santa Clara a 45% chance of winning, compared with 27% for Maritimo and 28% for a draw.

Goals

36'Tiago Ribeiro · Guilherme Romão · Santa Clara
60'Vinicius lopes · Emanuel Moreira · Santa Clara

Cards

44'José Tavares · Santa Clara
60'Francisco Vieites · Maritimo
67'Gábor Szalai · Maritimo
90+3'Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro · Santa Clara
90+4'Tiago Ribeiro · Santa Clara
90+5'Simo Bouzaidi · Maritimo

Match stats

MaritimoSanta Clara

52%Possession48%

17Shots11

6Shots on target5

2.10Expected goals (xG)0.84

5Corners2

17Fouls18

0Offsides4

3Saves6

⭐ Top-rated player: Vinícius Lopes (Santa Clara) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Maritimo · 3-4-3

30Fran VieitesG
22G. SzalaiD
4Rafael FernandesD
44Romain CorreiaD
2Igor JuliãoM
6Rodrigo AndradeM
14Raphael GuzzoM
23Paulo HenriqueM
12M. BassouaminaF
17Adrián ButzkeF
10Martín TejónF

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Santa Clara · 4-3-3

12NenecaG
42Lucas SoaresD
4Pedro PachecoD
21Emanuel FernandesD
5Guilherme RomãoD
8José Luís Rocha TavaresM
41Daniel BorgesM
20Tiago RibeiroM
10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosF
7Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF
70Vinícius LopesF

Coach: Petit

Match facts

Recent form

MaritimoLLDLL

Santa ClaraWWDWL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Maritimo	1.0	2.1
Santa Clara	1.4	0.7

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
4	Santa Clara	9	+7	18
14	Maritimo	9	-10	8

Last meetings

2024Maritimo0-0Santa Clara
2023Santa Clara2-1Maritimo
2023Maritimo3-1Santa Clara
2022Santa Clara2-1Maritimo
2022Maritimo1-0Santa Clara

PreviaXI model

Maritimo27%Draw28%Santa Clara45%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 0-1
Expected goals (model): 0.87 – 1.25
Double chance: X2 · 73%1X 55% · 12 72%
Over 2.5 goals: 35%Over 1.5: 62% · Over 3.5: 16%
Both teams score: 41%
Clean sheet: 29% – 42%Maritimo–Santa Clara
Half-time result: X · 47%1 21% · 2 32%
Half-time / full-time: 2/2 · 27%X/X 19% · X/2 17%
Expected corners: 8.14.0 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 30%
Expected cards: 5.22.4 – 2.8 · Over 3.5: 73%
Most likely scores: 0-116%
1-112%
0-011%
1-011%
0-29%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A meeting with contrasting stakes

Maritimo need a result to pull away from the lower reaches of the Primeira Liga, while fourth-placed Santa Clara can strengthen their position near the top. After nine rounds, Maritimo have eight points and sit 14th; Santa Clara have 18 points and a seven-goal positive difference.

The recent history between them offers a reminder that the gap in their current league positions does not always translate into a comfortable match for either side.

Santa Clara arrive in better form

Maritimo have lost three of their last five matches, scoring three goals and conceding 14 across that run. Their season record stands at two wins, two draws and five defeats, and they have scored nine goals while letting in 19.

Santa Clara’s recent numbers are markedly stronger: eight goals scored and three conceded in their last five. They have won five of nine league matches, drawn three and lost once. Their defence has also kept five clean sheets, compared with one for Maritimo.

The meetings have stayed close

The last five encounters have produced two draws and three wins by a single goal. The most recent, in April 2024, ended 0-0 at Maritimo in the Segunda Liga. Before that, Santa Clara won 2-1 at home in December 2023.

Their Primeira Liga meetings were also decided narrowly: Maritimo won 3-1 at home in February 2023, while Santa Clara claimed a 2-1 home victory the previous September. Maritimo also edged a 1-0 friendly in July 2022. The record points to competitive games rather than a consistent advantage for either club.

No listed absences

Neither side has any absences listed ahead of the fixture.

Santa Clara’s defensive edge

Santa Clara’s recent run gives them the stronger platform, particularly at the back: they have conceded just three times in five matches. Maritimo’s home scoring average of one goal per game this season suggests they may still find a route into the contest, but their recent defensive record leaves little margin for error.

Our prediction

The head-to-head history suggests a close game, but Santa Clara’s stronger season and recent defensive solidity give them the edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours the visitors, with a narrow away win the likeliest outcome.

Maritimo 0-1 Santa Clara

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