3–0 Full time Sunday 1 November

Our pick1–0Correct result

Braga under pressure after another difficult run as Famalicão arrive

SC Braga’s recent defeats have left them ninth after nine league matches, while Famalicão come to Braga with stronger recent form. Their 2-2 meeting in the Taça da Liga just days ago adds a fresh edge to the rematch.

📍 Estádio Municipal de Braga

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 00:37

All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

SC Braga secured a 3-0 win over Famalicao, with all three goals coming after the break. Ricardo Horta opened the scoring in the 53rd minute, assisted by Adrian Barisic. In the 67th minute, Víctor Rofino Gordo scored an own goal. Pau Victor added Braga’s third in the 88th minute, with Victor Gómez providing the assist. Famalicao’s Rodrigo Pinheiro was sent off in the 70th minute.

The numbers reflected Braga’s control: they had 59% possession and led 15-4 in total shots, while shots on target were 4-1. Ricardo Horta was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.2. The result was more decisive than the pre-match model’s predicted 1-0 Braga win, with probabilities of 47% for a home win, 26% for a draw and 27% for an away win.

Goals

53'Ricardo Horta · Adrian Barisic · SC Braga
67'Víctor Rofino Gordo (o.g.) · SC Braga
88'Pau Victor · Victor Gómez · SC Braga

Cards

21'Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura · Famalicao
40'Mathias De Amorim · Famalicao
40'Vitor Carvalho · SC Braga
60'Gabriel Martínez Aguilera · SC Braga
70'Rodrigo Pinheiro · Famalicao
70'Rodrigo Pinheiro · Famalicao
81'Óscar Aranda Subiela · Famalicao
81'Fra Navarro · SC Braga
85'Sergio Barcia · SC Braga
90+1'Jean-Baptiste Gorby · SC Braga

Match stats

SC BragaFamalicao

59%Possession41%

15Shots4

4Shots on target1

1.19Expected goals (xG)0.19

7Corners1

24Fouls9

1Offsides1

1Saves2

⭐ Top-rated player: Ricardo Horta (SC Braga) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

SC Braga · 3-4-3

31Bernardo FontesG
37A. BarišićD
6Vitor CarvalhoD
22Sergio BarciaD
2Víctor GómezM
8João MoutinhoM
20M. DorgelesM
7Diogo TravassosM
21Ricardo HortaF
9Fran NavarroF
77Gabri MartínezF

Coach: Franclim Carvalho

Famalicao · 4-2-3-1

25L. CarevićG
17Rodrigo PinheiroD
15Víctor RofinoD
3L. RealpeD
2Gustavo GarciaD
6T. van de LooiM
14Mathias De AmorimM
18R. BeneyM
10Pedro SantosM
7SorrisoM
70G. KoutsiasF

Coach: Ricardo Silva

Match facts

Recent form

SC BragaWDLLL

FamalicaoDDWLW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
SC Braga	1.0	1.2
Famalicao	1.6	1.2

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
9	SC Braga	9	-2	11
11	Famalicao	9	+3	10

Last meetings

2026SC Braga2-2Famalicao
2026SC Braga2-2Famalicao
2025Famalicao1-2SC Braga
2025Famalicao1-1SC Braga
2024SC Braga3-3Famalicao

PreviaXI model

SC Braga47%Draw26%Famalicao27%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.37 – 0.97
Double chance: 12 · 74%1X 73% · X2 53%
Over 2.5 goals: 42%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 21%
Both teams score: 46%
Clean sheet: 38% – 25%SC Braga–Famalicao
Half-time result: X · 44%1 34% · 2 22%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 28%X/1 17% · X/X 17%
Expected corners: 8.95.3 – 3.6 · Over 9.5: 40%
Expected cards: 4.92.3 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 70%
Most likely scores: 1-014%
1-112%
0-110%
2-09%
0-09%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

The pressure is mounting in Braga

The sides drew 2-2 in the Taça da Liga on 29 October, and they meet again just days later in the Primeira Liga. For SC Braga, the return fixture comes with pressure building after a run of defeats: they have lost three of their last five league matches and sit ninth with 11 points from nine games.

Famalicão are 11th, one point behind, but arrive with a better recent sequence. The standings are close, yet Braga’s need to halt their slide is the defining story at Estádio Municipal de Braga.

Contrasting recent form

Braga’s last five brought just three goals, with six conceded. Their league form reads three defeats followed by a win and a draw, and they have scored nine goals across nine matches this season.

Famalicão have taken a more encouraging path, with two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five. They scored 12 goals in that spell, including 11 across their five away league fixtures this season. Their overall league record stands at two wins, four draws and three losses.

A run of close meetings

The latest 2-2 draw continued a pattern of tight contests. Braga and Famalicão also drew 2-2 in the league last April, while Braga edged a 2-1 away win in December 2025. The previous two meetings ended 1-1 and 3-3, so none of the last five has been decided by more than one goal.

No reported absences

Neither side has a listed absence for the league encounter, leaving the focus on how Braga respond to their recent results and whether Famalicão can carry their scoring form into another meeting.

Famalicão’s away threat

Famalicão’s 11 goals in five away league matches make them a threat, particularly against a Braga side that has conceded 11 in nine games. Braga, however, have scored in seven of their nine league matches and will look to make home advantage count.

Our prediction

Braga’s home setting and the model’s preference for the hosts point towards a narrow response to their poor run, even with Famalicão’s stronger recent attack. The recent head-to-heads suggest another close contest, with one goal potentially enough to decide it.

SC Braga 1-0 Famalicao

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