2–1 Full time Sunday 1 November

Our pick1–0Correct result

Academico Viseu’s winning run faces Rio Ave test

Academico Viseu are sixth after five straight league wins, while Rio Ave sit 17th. The visitors’ recent defensive struggles give the hosts a chance to extend their momentum.

📍 Estadio do Fontelo

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 00:37

All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Academico Viseu came from behind to beat Rio Ave 2-1. Miguel Patricío put Rio Ave ahead in the 38th minute, assisted by João Tomé Baptista. Soufiane Messeguem equalised for Academico Viseu in the 69th minute, with André Clóvis providing the assist. Eight minutes later, Clóvis scored the winner from Alejandro Mestanza’s assist. Rio Ave’s Andreas Ntoi was sent off in the 90+6th minute.

The teams had five shots on target apiece, while Rio Ave led possession 55% to 45%. Academico Viseu registered 13 total shots to Rio Ave’s 12, and Rio Ave edged the expected-goals tally 1.14 to 0.94. André Clóvis was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.7. The 2-1 result differed from the pre-match model’s 1-0 prediction, which gave Academico Viseu a 58% win probability, a draw 21% and Rio Ave a 21% chance of victory.

Goals

38'Miguel Patricío · João Tomé Baptista · Rio Ave
69'Soufiane Messeguem · André Clóvis · Academico Viseu
77'André Clóvis · Alejandro Mestanza · Academico Viseu

Cards

57'Jalen Blesa · Rio Ave
63'Soufiane Messeguem · Academico Viseu
76'Georgios Liavas · Rio Ave
90+6'Andreas Ntoi · Rio Ave

Match stats

Academico ViseuRio Ave

45%Possession55%

13Shots12

5Shots on target5

0.94Expected goals (xG)1.14

5Corners6

8Fouls12

1Offsides3

3Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: André Clóvis (Academico Viseu) 8.7

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Academico Viseu · 4-2-3-1

98EwertonG
75RobinhoD
41A. CorreiaD
2N. MichelisD
3Miguel BrauD
7Luís SilvaM
14S. MesseguemM
31João GuilhermeM
8C. KahramanM
22Nils MortimerM
33André ClóvisF

Coach: Bruno Pinheiro

Rio Ave · 4-2-3-1

99E. van der GouwG
20João ToméD
5A. NtoiD
39Gustavo ManchaD
17M. VrousaiD
79M. PatricioM
54G. LiavasM
7Diogo BezerraM
90Diogo NascimentoM
80S. ClemmensenM
11J. BlesaF

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Match facts

Recent form

Academico ViseuWWWWW

Rio AveLDLWL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Academico Viseu	1.4	1.2
Rio Ave	0.9	2.3

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
6	Academico Viseu	9	+2	17
17	Rio Ave	9	-13	7

Last meetings

2023Rio Ave3-0Academico Viseu
2022Rio Ave1-0Academico Viseu
2022Academico Viseu0-1Rio Ave
2021Rio Ave1-2Academico Viseu

PreviaXI model

Academico Viseu58%Draw21%Rio Ave21%

Model confidence: Medium

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.84 – 0.99
Double chance: 1X · 79%12 79% · X2 42%
Over 2.5 goals: 54%Over 1.5: 77% · Over 3.5: 31%
Both teams score: 52%
Clean sheet: 37% – 16%Academico Viseu–Rio Ave
Half-time result: 1 · 42%X 39% · 2 19%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 37%X/1 18% · X/X 13%
Expected corners: 9.24.7 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 44%
Expected cards: 4.42.2 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 62%
Most likely scores: 1-011%
1-110%
2-010%
2-110%
0-17%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Viseu’s rise and Rio Ave’s fight

Sixth-placed Academico Viseu have collected 17 points from nine Primeira Liga matches and head into Sunday’s meeting on a five-game winning streak. Rio Ave are 17th, with seven points and a goal difference of -13, making the contrast in their league positions stark.

For Viseu, the Fontelo fixture offers a chance to keep their run going and hold their place in the upper part of the table. Rio Ave, meanwhile, need a response after a difficult opening nine rounds.

Five wins, contrasting fortunes

Viseu’s league form reads five consecutive victories. They have scored nine goals and conceded three across their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game in that spell. Their season record stands at five wins, two draws and two defeats.

Rio Ave have found consistency harder to come by: their last five have brought one win, one draw and three losses. They have conceded 14 goals in those matches, while scoring six. Across the season, they have won twice, drawn once and lost six times.

The hosts’ recent defensive solidity is a notable change from their home-season record, where they have conceded six goals in four matches and are yet to keep a clean sheet. Rio Ave have scored only twice in four away league games.

Rio Ave hold the past edge

Recent meetings offer Rio Ave some encouragement. They beat Viseu 3-0 in the 2023 Taça da Liga and won 1-0 in a 2022 friendly. In the Segunda Liga, Rio Ave also won 1-0 in March 2022, before Viseu claimed a 2-1 away victory later that year.

Those results span different competitions and seasons, while Viseu’s present run gives this encounter a different feel.

No listed absences

Neither side has any listed absences ahead of the match.

Viseu’s attack has the momentum

Viseu’s nine goals across their last five games point to an attack in good rhythm, while their three conceded underline the improvement behind that run. Their season tally is 13 goals, compared with Rio Ave’s eight.

Rio Ave’s recent return of six goals shows they can still threaten, but their defensive record—21 conceded in nine league matches—will be a concern against a side that has won five in a row.

Our prediction

Viseu’s form, stronger scoring record and Rio Ave’s defensive difficulties point towards the hosts extending their winning streak. PreviaXI’s model also favours a home win, with the visitors’ low away scoring return supporting a narrow result.

Academico Viseu 1-0 Rio Ave

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