4–0 Full time Saturday 31 October

Our pick2–0Correct result

FC Porto’s winning run faces Estoril test

FC Porto have won all nine league games and arrive with five straight victories. Estoril, rooted to the bottom, must find a way to halt the leaders’ momentum at the Dragão.

📍 Estádio do Dragão

Preview written: Fri 30 Oct 02:08

All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

FC Porto defeated Estoril 4-0 in the Primeira Liga. Victor Froholdt opened the scoring in the fourth minute, assisted by Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa. Borja Sainz doubled the lead in the 64th minute, with Gabri Veiga providing the assist. André Silva made it 3-0 in the 70th minute, and three minutes later Veiga scored FC Porto’s fourth, assisted by Sainz. There were no red cards.

FC Porto had 66% possession and led Estoril 24-7 in total shots, with an 11-0 advantage in shots on target. The xG figures were 3.13 to 0.64, while the corner count was 8-0. Gabri Veiga was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.9. The result was a wider FC Porto win than the pre-match model’s 2-0 prediction, which gave the home side a 76% chance of winning, a 15% chance of a draw and a 9% chance of an Estoril win.

Goals

4'Victor Froholdt · Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa · FC Porto
64'Borja Sainz · Gabri Veiga · FC Porto
70'André Silva · FC Porto
73'Gabri Veiga · Borja Sainz · FC Porto

Cards

34'Jan Bednarek · FC Porto

Match stats

FC PortoEstoril

66%Possession34%

24Shots7

11Shots on target0

3.13Expected goals (xG)0.64

8Corners0

13Fouls7

2Offsides1

0Saves7

⭐ Top-rated player: Gabri Veiga (FC Porto) 8.9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

FC Porto · 4-3-3

99Diogo CostaG
20Alberto BaioD
5J. BednarekD
4J. KiwiorD
12Z. SanusiD
8Victor Mow FroholdtM
13P. RosarioM
10Gabri VeigaM
11Pepê AquinoF
9SamuF
17Borja SainzF

Coach: F. Farioli

Estoril · 4-2-3-1

16M. TurkG
25S. AndreouD
4FerroD
6Xavi SintesD
42J. ArnolinD
19Tiago Parreira ParenteM
5A. TsounguiM
99R. GuitaneM
17PeixinhoM
22Pedro CarvalhoM
7André LacximicantF

Coach: Leandro Pires

Match facts

Recent form

FC PortoWWWWW

EstorilDLLLL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
FC Porto	2.3	0.4
Estoril	0.6	1.7

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	9	+17	27
18	Estoril	9	-10	2

Last meetings

2026Estoril1-3FC Porto
2025FC Porto1-0Estoril
2025Estoril1-2FC Porto
2024FC Porto4-0Estoril
2024Estoril1-0FC Porto

PreviaXI model

FC Porto76%Draw15%Estoril9%

Model confidence: Strong

Predicted score: 2-0
Expected goals (model): 2.37 – 0.65
Double chance: 1X · 91%12 85% · X2 24%
Over 2.5 goals: 58%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 36%
Both teams score: 43%
Clean sheet: 52% – 9%FC Porto–Estoril
Half-time result: 1 · 56%X 34% · 2 10%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 52%X/1 21% · X/X 9%
Expected corners: 9.56.4 – 3.1 · Over 9.5: 47%
Expected cards: 4.31.7 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 61%
Most likely scores: 2-014%
1-012%
3-011%
2-19%
1-17%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Porto’s perfect start raises the stakes

FC Porto’s season has been a sequence of wins: nine from nine in the Primeira Liga, leaving them top with 27 points and a goal difference of +17. They return to the Estádio do Dragão on Saturday aiming to extend that flawless start, with Estoril arriving in starkly different circumstances.

The visitors are 18th with two points from nine matches. A meeting between the league leaders and the bottom side gives Porto a clear opportunity to keep their run going, but Estoril will be desperate to interrupt it.

Nine wins and counting

Porto have won their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding four across that stretch. Their season totals are just as convincing: 21 goals scored and only four allowed, with five clean sheets. They have also won all four of their home league fixtures.

Estoril’s recent form offers little reassurance. They have taken two points all season and lost seven of nine, including four defeats in their last five. They have scored only three goals in those five matches and conceded eight. Across the campaign, their five goals are the league’s weaker return in this matchup, while 15 conceded underline the challenge ahead.

Porto have controlled recent meetings

Porto have won four of the last five league meetings, including a 3-1 away victory in April and a 1-0 home success last November. Estoril’s one win in that sequence came at home in March 2024, while Porto also recorded a 4-0 victory at the Dragão in November 2024.

No absences listed

Neither side has any absences listed ahead of the match, leaving Porto’s winning momentum and Estoril’s response as the central talking points.

Porto’s attack against Estoril’s defence

Porto’s 12 goals in their last five games point to a side creating and converting chances consistently. They have averaged 2.3 goals per league match this season, while Estoril have conceded 15 in nine outings and have yet to keep a clean sheet.

The contrast is just as clear at the other end: Porto have conceded only four league goals, while Estoril have scored five all season. The visitors will need a more effective attacking display to trouble a defence that has already kept five clean sheets.

Our prediction

Porto’s home record, nine straight league wins and stronger output at both ends make them clear favourites to continue their run. Estoril’s low scoring rate suggests the visitors may struggle to make the leaders pay, and PreviaXI’s model favours a Porto win with a clean sheet.
FC Porto 2-0 Estoril

⚑ Report a mistake Editorial policy

Primeira Liga table All previews that day