Primeira Liga · Matchday 10 
Vitória SC’s unbeaten run against GIL Vicente faces a fresh test
Vitória SC have avoided defeat in their last five meetings with GIL Vicente, but arrive in 13th place against a home side sitting seventh. GIL Vicente’s tighter defensive record gives them reason to believe they can end that run.
📍 Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Preview written: · Team news checked:
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Vitória SC | 1.1 | 1.1 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.34 – 0.99
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 72% · X2 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 21%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 26%GIL Vicente–Vitória SC
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 33% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%X/X 17% · X/1 16%
- Expected corners
- 8.74.5 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 37%
- Expected cards
- 4.82.4 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 68%
- Most likely scores
- 1-014%
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 0-09%
- 2-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards GIL Vicente
- Power ratings: GIL Vicente +0.25 goals per game (5th of 18 in Primeira Liga), Vitória SC +0.05 (8th).
- GIL Vicente's attack (1.31 goals per game) meets Vitória SC's defence (1.26 conceded per game).
- Vitória SC's attack (1.31) meets GIL Vicente's defence (1.06).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 16% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.34 – 0.99 goals: GIL Vicente 46%, draw 26%, Vitória SC 28%.
Key trends
- 6 of GIL Vicente’s last 8 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Vitória SC have not won in their last 6 away matches.
- Vitória SC are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings with GIL Vicente.
Chance to score
GIL Vicente
- Héctor Hernández3 goals in 7 games38%
- Murilo1 goals in 8 games14%
- Gil Pinto Martins1 goals in 9 games13%
Vitória SC
- A. Jakupovic2 goals in 5 games20%
- Samu1 goals in 9 games8%
- A. Ndoye1 goals in 7 games8%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | GIL Vicente | Vitória SC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-3 | 2-1-2 | 2-2-5 | 0-0-4 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.89 | 0.80 | 1.11 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.78 | 0.60 | 1.11 | 2.00 |
| xG per game | 1.26 | 1.38 | 1.67 | 1.06 |
| xG against per game | 0.99 | 0.65 | 0.98 | 1.67 |
| Scored in | 67% | 60% | 56% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 40% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 40% | 44% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 20% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 44% | 40% | 56% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 0% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 0% | 22% | 25% |
| Shots per game | 13.0 | 16.6 | 17.6 | 12.5 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.6 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 3.0 |
| Shots on target | 28% | 27% | 26% | 24% |
| Possession | 51% | 56% | 54% | 46% |
| Passes per game | 460.2 | 488.2 | 451.4 | 384.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 89% | – | – |
| Corners per game | 3.2 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 4.2 |
| Corners against per game | 5.1 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 5.5 |
| Cards per game | 2.1 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 4.0 |
| Fouls per game | 13.6 | 12.4 | 15.7 | 18.2 |
League matches this season (Primeira Liga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
GIL Vicente
- 0-152 / 1
- 16-301 / 1
- 31-451 / 1
- 46-601 / 0
- 61-750 / 2
- 76-90+2 / 3
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Vitória SC
- 0-151 / 1
- 16-300 / 2
- 31-451 / 1
- 46-601 / 5
- 61-753 / 1
- 76-90+3 / 2
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
Table as of
Next matches
GIL Vicente
- Sun 8 NovSanta Clara – GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
- Sun 29 NovGIL Vicente – EstorilPrimeira Liga
- Sun 6 DecEstrela – GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
Vitória SC
- Sun 8 NovVitória SC – FC PortoPrimeira Liga
- Sat 28 NovVitória SC – EstrelaPrimeira Liga
- Sun 6 DecEstoril – Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
GIL Vicente 2 wins · 1 draws · Vitória SC 7 wins
- 18/04/2026GIL Vicente0-1Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- 08/12/2025Vitória SC0-0GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
- 11/04/2025GIL Vicente0-1Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- 02/12/2024Vitória SC4-0GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
- 08/02/2024Vitória SC3-1GIL VicenteTaça de Portugal
- 28/01/2024GIL Vicente1-0Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- 19/08/2023Vitória SC2-1GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
- 21/05/2023Vitória SC1-0GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
- 16/01/2023GIL Vicente2-1Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- 15/05/2022Vitória SC5-0GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
A seven-place gap in the table
GIL Vicente sit seventh in the Primeira Liga with 14 points from nine matches, while Vitória SC are 13th on eight. The six-point gap frames a meeting between a home side with a platform in the upper half and visitors seeking to climb away from the lower places.
Recent signs point both ways
GIL Vicente’s last five matches have brought five goals for and six against. Their overall league record stands at four wins, two draws and three defeats, with only seven goals conceded in nine games.
Vitória SC have scored seven times across their last five, but their league campaign has been less convincing: two wins, two draws and five defeats. Their away record is a particular concern, with four losses from four league trips and eight goals conceded on the road.
Vitória SC have had the upper hand
The recent head-to-head record is the central talking point. Vitória SC are unbeaten in the last five meetings, winning three and drawing two. They have also kept clean sheets in the last four encounters, including 1-0 league victories at GIL Vicente in April 2026 and April 2025.
That history offers the visitors encouragement, but GIL Vicente will take confidence from their current position and defensive numbers. Their challenge is to turn home advantage into a result against an opponent that has repeatedly frustrated them.
No absences to shape the preview
Neither side has an absence listed, leaving the focus on their contrasting league records and the history between them.
The numbers behind the contest
GIL Vicente’s seven goals conceded in nine matches compare favourably with Vitória SC’s ten. The visitors have scored more in their recent five-match spell, but their away-season return is only three goals, while they have yet to earn a point on the road.
Our prediction
Vitória SC’s unbeaten run in this fixture makes them difficult to dismiss, but GIL Vicente’s stronger league position and more secure defensive record point towards a narrow home win. PreviaXI’s model also favours the hosts, with a low-scoring contest the likeliest shape.
GIL Vicente 1-0 Vitória SC
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