Primeira Liga – Matchday 11: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Primeira Liga Matchday 11 (6 November – 8 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Europe

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Sporting CP (79% to win against Moreirense).
Closest on paper: Santa Clara – GIL Vicente (37% vs 34%, draw 29%).
Most goals expected: Estrela – Benfica (3.3 expected goals); fewest: Santa Clara – GIL Vicente (2.0).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 3 of 8 matches.
The model expects about 22 goals in these 8 matches (2.70 per match).

All matches

Friday 6 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
23:45	FamalicaoArouca	–

Saturday 7 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	·
18:30	NacionalAcademico Viseu	34%	24%	42%	1276%	50%	53%	9.55.5–4.0	5.02.3–2.7	Stats
21:00	AlvercaCasa Pia	55%	23%	22%	1X78%	45%	46%	9.76.1–3.6	4.72.1–2.6	Stats
23:30	Sporting CPMoreirense	79%	13%	8%	1X92%	61%	43%	8.76.4–2.3	4.82.0–2.8	Stats

Sunday 8 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	·
18:30	EstorilMaritimo	45%	23%	32%	1277%	53%	55%	8.34.6–3.7	4.22.3–1.9	Stats
18:30	Santa ClaraGIL Vicente	37%	29%	34%	1271%	31%	38%	8.84.4–4.4	5.32.6–2.7	Stats
21:00	Vitória SCFC Porto	18%	22%	60%	X282%	45%	44%	8.43.7–4.7	4.82.6–2.2	Stats
23:30	EstrelaBenfica	13%	16%	71%	X287%	63%	53%	10.02.6–7.4	5.53.1–2.4	Stats
23:30	Rio AveSC Braga	19%	21%	60%	X281%	50%	48%	9.23.3–5.9	4.72.7–2.0	Stats

Matches marked – are outside our model window or were played before the archive started; they link once a preview exists.

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