Primeira Liga · Matchday 11 
Nacional vs Academico Viseu: prediction, stats and form
Primeira Liga, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Nacional 34%, the draw 24% and Academico Viseu 42%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Nacional34%Draw24%Academico Viseu42%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.26 – 1.43
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 58% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 24% – 29%Nacional–Academico Viseu
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 27% · 2 32%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 25%1/1 20% · X/2 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.55.5 – 4.0 · Over 9.5: 47%
- Expected cards
- 5.02.3 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 70%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 0-111%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Academico Viseu
- Power ratings: Nacional -0.36 goals per game (14th of 18 in Primeira Liga), Academico Viseu +0.01 (9th).
- Nacional's attack (1.14 goals per game) meets Academico Viseu's defence (1.34 conceded per game).
- Academico Viseu's attack (1.35) meets Nacional's defence (1.50).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 16% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.26 – 1.43 goals: Nacional 34%, draw 24%, Academico Viseu 42%.
Match facts
Last matches · Nacional
- L Sun 1 Nov A Arouca 0-1
- W Sun 25 Oct H SC Braga 1-0
- L Sun 11 Oct A Rio Ave 2-3
- L Sat 19 Sept H Famalicao 0-4
- L Sat 12 Sept H Alverca 1-3
- L Sat 5 Sept A Sporting CP 0-2
Last matches · Academico Viseu
- W Sun 1 Nov H Rio Ave 2-1
- W Sun 25 Oct A Sporting CP 2-1
- W Sat 10 Oct H Estoril 2-1
- W Sun 20 Sept A Estrela 2-0
- W Sat 12 Sept H Vitória SC 2-1
- W Sun 6 Sept A GIL Vicente 1-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Nacional | Academico Viseu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Nacional (H) | Academico Viseu (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/18 | Nacional | 10 | -9 | 7 |
| 6/18 | Academico Viseu | 10 | +3 | 20 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.