Primeira Liga · Matchday 11 
Estoril vs Maritimo: prediction, stats and form
Primeira Liga, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Estoril 45%, the draw 23% and Maritimo 32%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Estoril45%Draw23%Maritimo32%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.55 – 1.26
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 68% · X2 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 21%Estoril–Maritimo
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 34% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%2/2 18% · X/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 8.34.6 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 32%
- Expected cards
- 4.22.3 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-010%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
- 1-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Estoril
- Power ratings: Estoril -0.33 goals per game (13th of 18 in Primeira Liga), Maritimo -0.39 (15th).
- Estoril's attack (1.25 goals per game) meets Maritimo's defence (1.51 conceded per game).
- Maritimo's attack (1.12) meets Estoril's defence (1.58).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 16% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.55 – 1.26 goals: Estoril 45%, draw 23%, Maritimo 32%.
Match facts
Last matches · Estoril
- L Sat 31 Oct A FC Porto 0-4
- L Sun 25 Oct H Moreirense 1-3
- L Sat 10 Oct A Academico Viseu 1-2
- L Sun 20 Sept H Casa Pia 1-2
- L Mon 14 Sept A SC Braga 0-1
- D Mon 7 Sept H Arouca 0-0
Last matches · Maritimo
- L Sun 1 Nov H Santa Clara 0-2
- L Fri 23 Oct A Vitória SC 0-5
- L Sat 10 Oct H FC Porto 1-2
- D Sat 19 Sept A GIL Vicente 1-1
- L Mon 14 Sept A Moreirense 1-3
- L Sat 5 Sept H Benfica 0-3
Last 10 matches
| · | Estoril | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Estoril (H) | Maritimo (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/18 | Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
| 14/18 | Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.