Primeira Liga · Matchday 11 
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: prediction, stats and form
Primeira Liga, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Vitória SC 18%, the draw 22% and FC Porto 60%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Vitória SC18%Draw22%FC Porto60%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.78 – 1.70
- Double chance
- X2 · 82%1X 40% · 12 78%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 70% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 44%
- Clean sheet
- 18% – 46%Vitória SC–FC Porto
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 16% · 2 42%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 38%X/2 20% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 8.43.7 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 34%
- Expected cards
- 4.82.6 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 67%
- Most likely scores
- 0-115%
- 0-212%
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards FC Porto
- Power ratings: Vitória SC +0.05 goals per game (8th of 18 in Primeira Liga), FC Porto +1.19 (3rd).
- Vitória SC's attack (1.31 goals per game) meets FC Porto's defence (0.72 conceded per game).
- FC Porto's attack (1.91) meets Vitória SC's defence (1.26).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 16% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 0.78 – 1.70 goals: Vitória SC 18%, draw 22%, FC Porto 60%.
Match facts
Last matches · Vitória SC
- W Fri 23 Oct H Maritimo 5-0
- L Sun 11 Oct A Benfica 0-2
- D Sun 20 Sept H Moreirense 1-1
- L Sat 12 Sept A Academico Viseu 1-2
- D Sun 6 Sept H Casa Pia 0-0
- L Mon 31 Aug A SC Braga 0-1
Last matches · FC Porto
- W Sat 31 Oct H Estoril 4-0
- W Sat 24 Oct A GIL Vicente 1-0
- L Tue 20 Oct H PSV Eindhoven 0-1
- L Wed 14 Oct A Real Betis 2-3
- W Sat 10 Oct A Maritimo 2-1
- W Sun 20 Sept H Benfica 3-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Vitória SC | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Vitória SC (H) | FC Porto (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Conceded | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/18 | Vitória SC | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 1/18 | FC Porto | 10 | +21 | 30 |
Last meetings
- 2026Vitória SC 0-1 FC Porto
- 2025FC Porto 3-0 Vitória SC
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.