Primeira Liga · Matchday 11 
Rio Ave vs SC Braga: prediction, stats and form
Primeira Liga, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Rio Ave 19%, the draw 21% and SC Braga 60%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Rio Ave19%Draw21%SC Braga60%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.89 – 1.79
- Double chance
- X2 · 81%1X 40% · 12 79%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Clean sheet
- 17% – 41%Rio Ave–SC Braga
- Half-time result
- 2 · 43%1 17% · X 40%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 37%X/2 19% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.23.3 – 5.9 · Over 9.5: 44%
- Expected cards
- 4.72.7 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 0-113%
- 0-211%
- 1-110%
- 1-210%
- 1-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards SC Braga
- Power ratings: Rio Ave -0.55 goals per game (17th of 18 in Primeira Liga), SC Braga +0.55 (4th).
- Rio Ave's attack (1.04 goals per game) meets SC Braga's defence (1.04 conceded per game).
- SC Braga's attack (1.59) meets Rio Ave's defence (1.59).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 16% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 0.89 – 1.79 goals: Rio Ave 19%, draw 21%, SC Braga 60%.
Match facts
Last matches · Rio Ave
- L Sun 1 Nov A Academico Viseu 1-2
- L Sun 25 Oct H Famalicao 0-4
- W Sun 11 Oct H Nacional 3-2
- L Sat 19 Sept A Alverca 0-1
- D Mon 14 Sept H Estrela 3-3
- L Sun 6 Sept A Santa Clara 0-4
Last matches · SC Braga
- W Sun 1 Nov H Famalicao 3-0
- L Sun 25 Oct A Nacional 0-1
- W Thu 22 Oct H Gent 2-0
- L Mon 19 Oct H GIL Vicente 1-2
- L Thu 15 Oct A FC Copenhagen 0-3
- L Fri 9 Oct H Sporting CP 1-3
Last 10 matches
| · | Rio Ave | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Rio Ave (H) | SC Braga (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/18 | Rio Ave | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 7/18 | SC Braga | 10 | +1 | 14 |
Last meetings
- 2026SC Braga 3-0 Rio Ave
- 2025Rio Ave 2-2 SC Braga
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.