Primeira Liga · Matchday 11 
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: prediction, stats and form
Primeira Liga, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Sporting CP 79%, the draw 13% and Moreirense 8%, with a predicted score of 2-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Sporting CP79%Draw13%Moreirense8%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.53 – 0.64
- Double chance
- 1X · 92%12 87% · X2 21%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%Over 1.5: 82% · Over 3.5: 39%
- Both teams score
- 43%
- Clean sheet
- 53% – 8%Sporting CP–Moreirense
- Half-time result
- 1 · 58%X 32% · 2 10%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 55%X/1 21% · X/X 8%
- Expected corners
- 8.76.4 – 2.3 · Over 9.5: 38%
- Expected cards
- 4.82.0 – 2.8 · Over 3.5: 68%
- Most likely scores
- 2-013%
- 3-011%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 3-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Sporting CP
- Power ratings: Sporting CP +1.22 goals per game (2nd of 18 in Primeira Liga), Moreirense -0.45 (16th).
- Sporting CP's attack (2.11 goals per game) meets Moreirense's defence (1.46 conceded per game).
- Moreirense's attack (1.01) meets Sporting CP's defence (0.89).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 16% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.53 – 0.64 goals: Sporting CP 79%, draw 13%, Moreirense 8%.
Match facts
Last matches · Sporting CP
- W Fri 30 Oct A Casa Pia 2-0
- L Sun 25 Oct H Academico Viseu 1-2
- L Wed 21 Oct H Lask Linz 2-3
- W Tue 13 Oct A Lens 2-0
- W Fri 9 Oct A SC Braga 3-1
- D Sat 19 Sept H Arouca 2-2
Last matches · Moreirense
- W Sat 31 Oct H Estrela 2-1
- W Sun 25 Oct A Estoril 3-1
- L Fri 9 Oct H GIL Vicente 0-1
- D Sun 20 Sept A Vitória SC 1-1
- W Mon 14 Sept H Maritimo 3-1
- L Wed 9 Sept H Benfica 0-4
Last 10 matches
| · | Sporting CP | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Sporting CP (H) | Moreirense (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/18 | Sporting CP | 10 | +12 | 21 |
| 9/18 | Moreirense | 10 | -4 | 14 |
Last meetings
- 2026Moreirense 0-3 Sporting CP
- 2025Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.