Championship – Matchday 15: predictions & previews

All 12 matches of Championship Matchday 15 (6 November – 7 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Cardiff (55% to win against Burnley).
Closest on paper: West Brom – Millwall (40% vs 32%, draw 28%).
Most goals expected: Cardiff – Burnley (3.6 expected goals); fewest: Portsmouth – Stoke City (2.2).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 10 of 11 matches.
The model expects about 30 goals in these 11 matches (2.73 per match).

All matches

Friday 6 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
23:00	DerbyBolton	–

Saturday 7 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
15:30	Bristol CityNorwich	41%	27%	32%	1273%	52%	56%	9.54.8–4.7	3.81.6–2.2		Stats
15:30	PortsmouthStoke City	44%	30%	26%	1X74%	38%	45%	10.65.9–4.7	4.21.7–2.5		Stats
15:30	WrexhamWolves	28%	28%	44%	1272%	46%	51%	9.64.0–5.6	3.91.7–2.2		Stats
18:00	BirminghamSwansea	47%	28%	25%	1X75%	45%	50%	9.46.2–3.2	3.81.8–2.0		Stats
18:00	BlackburnWest Ham	26%	24%	50%	1276%	59%	60%	11.75.8–5.9	3.71.7–2.0		Stats
18:00	CardiffBurnley	55%	21%	24%	1279%	70%	68%	10.46.5–3.9	3.91.5–2.4		Stats
18:00	CharltonSheffield Utd	30%	28%	42%	1272%	45%	51%	10.65.1–5.5	4.12.2–1.9		Stats
18:00	PrestonSouthampton	24%	24%	52%	1276%	58%	59%	11.15.1–6.0	3.82.2–1.6		Stats
18:00	QPRLincoln	49%	26%	25%	1X75%	52%	55%	10.57.3–3.2	4.21.8–2.4		Stats
18:00	WatfordMiddlesbrough	22%	26%	52%	X278%	48%	51%	10.74.4–6.3	4.02.1–1.9		Stats
18:00	West BromMillwall	40%	28%	32%	1272%	46%	52%	10.96.4–4.5	3.71.7–2.0		Stats

Matches marked – are outside our model window or were played before the archive started; they link once a preview exists.

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