Championship · Matchday 15 
Portsmouth vs Stoke City: prediction, stats and form
Championship, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Portsmouth 44%, the draw 30% and Stoke City 26%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Portsmouth44%Draw30%Stoke City26%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.30 – 0.93
- Double chance
- 1X · 74%12 70% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38%Over 1.5: 66% · Over 3.5: 19%
- Both teams score
- 45%
- Clean sheet
- 40% – 27%Portsmouth–Stoke City
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 32% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%X/X 20% · X/1 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.65.9 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 61%
- Expected cards
- 4.21.7 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 60%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-013%
- 0-012%
- 0-19%
- 2-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Portsmouth
- Power ratings: Portsmouth -0.11 goals per game (13th of 24 in Championship), Stoke City -0.29 (20th).
- Portsmouth's attack (1.13 goals per game) meets Stoke City's defence (1.40 conceded per game).
- Stoke City's attack (1.11) meets Portsmouth's defence (1.24).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.30 – 0.93 goals: Portsmouth 44%, draw 30%, Stoke City 26%.
Match facts
Last matches · Portsmouth
- D Sat 31 Oct A Burnley 0-0
- W Sat 24 Oct H Millwall 2-1
- D Tue 20 Oct A Wolves 1-1
- W Sat 17 Oct A Norwich 1-0
- W Wed 14 Oct H Sheffield Utd 3-2
- L Sun 11 Oct A Southampton 0-1
Last matches · Stoke City
- W Sat 31 Oct H Preston 2-0
- D Sat 24 Oct H Bristol City 0-0
- W Sat 17 Oct A Derby 1-0
- L Tue 13 Oct H Middlesbrough 2-3
- W Sat 10 Oct A Bolton 2-1
- W Sat 19 Sept H Sheffield Utd 2-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Portsmouth | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Portsmouth (H) | Stoke City (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/24 | Portsmouth | 13 | +1 | 19 |
| 7/24 | Stoke City | 13 | +4 | 23 |
Last meetings
- 2026Stoke City 1-3 Portsmouth
- 2025Portsmouth 0-1 Stoke City
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.