Championship · Matchday 15 
Birmingham vs Swansea: prediction, stats and form
Championship, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Birmingham 47%, the draw 28% and Swansea 25%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Birmingham47%Draw28%Swansea25%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.48 – 1.01
- Double chance
- 1X · 75%12 72% · X2 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 23%Birmingham–Swansea
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 35% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%X/X 18% · X/1 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.46.2 – 3.2 · Over 9.5: 46%
- Expected cards
- 3.81.8 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 53%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
- 0-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Birmingham
- Power ratings: Birmingham +0.24 goals per game (5th of 24 in Championship), Swansea 0.00 (11th).
- Birmingham's attack (1.42 goals per game) meets Swansea's defence (1.27 conceded per game).
- Swansea's attack (1.27) meets Birmingham's defence (1.18).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.48 – 1.01 goals: Birmingham 47%, draw 28%, Swansea 25%.
Match facts
Last matches · Birmingham
- W Sat 31 Oct A Lincoln 3-1
- L Sat 24 Oct A Cardiff 0-1
- W Sat 17 Oct H QPR 3-0
- W Tue 13 Oct H Preston 4-0
- W Sat 10 Oct A West Brom 1-0
- D Sat 19 Sept H Middlesbrough 2-2
Last matches · Swansea
- W Sat 31 Oct H Blackburn 4-0
- L Sat 24 Oct A QPR 0-5
- L Sat 17 Oct H West Ham 0-1
- W Tue 13 Oct A Millwall 1-0
- W Sat 10 Oct H Norwich 2-1
- W Sat 19 Sept A Lincoln 2-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Birmingham | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Birmingham (H) | Swansea (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/24 | Birmingham | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 3/24 | Swansea | 13 | +7 | 26 |
Last meetings
- 2026Swansea 0-1 Birmingham
- 2026Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
- 2025Birmingham 1-0 Swansea
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.