Championship – Matchday 12: predictions & previews

All 12 matches of Championship Matchday 12 (23 October – 24 October 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Europe

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Wolves (61% to win against Watford).
Closest on paper: Portsmouth – Millwall (35% vs 36%, draw 29%).
Most goals expected: West Ham – Southampton (3.5 expected goals); fewest: Blackburn – Wrexham (2.4).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 11 of 12 matches.
The model expects about 32 goals in these 12 matches (2.70 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 12 · most likely result correct: 7 (58%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 6 (50%) · both teams to score correct: 8 (67%)

Friday 23 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
22:00	BoltonMiddlesbrough	27%	26%	47%	1274%	52%	56%	10.65.1–5.5	3.31.7–1.6	1-5✅	Preview

Saturday 24 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
14:30	CharltonNorwich	33%	28%	39%	1272%	46%	52%	9.34.3–5.0	3.91.9–2.0	1-3✅	Preview
14:30	PortsmouthMillwall	35%	29%	36%	1271%	44%	50%	11.76.9–4.8	4.11.7–2.4	2-1❌	Preview
14:30	Sheffield UtdDerby	47%	26%	27%	1274%	51%	55%	11.06.4–4.6	4.61.6–3.0	1-1❌	Preview
17:00	BlackburnWrexham	37%	29%	34%	1271%	42%	49%	10.26.0–4.2	3.62.0–1.6	2-0✅	Preview
17:00	CardiffBirmingham	38%	25%	37%	1275%	60%	63%	11.36.3–5.0	4.11.7–2.4	1-0✅	Preview
17:00	LincolnBurnley	44%	26%	30%	1274%	53%	57%	10.44.4–6.0	4.42.0–2.4	4-1✅	Preview
17:00	PrestonWest Brom	32%	29%	39%	1271%	45%	51%	10.14.6–5.5	3.31.7–1.6	1-1❌	Preview
17:00	QPRSwansea	39%	29%	32%	1271%	43%	50%	9.25.6–3.6	3.71.8–1.9	5-0✅	Preview
17:00	Stoke CityBristol City	38%	29%	33%	1271%	44%	51%	10.36.2–4.1	4.02.0–2.0	0-0❌	Preview
17:00	West HamSouthampton	54%	22%	24%	1278%	68%	67%	10.66.2–4.4	4.12.2–1.9	2-3❌	Preview
17:00	WolvesWatford	61%	23%	16%	1X84%	53%	51%	10.57.3–3.2	4.71.8–2.9	1-0✅	Preview

Doha time