Championship · Matchday 12 
Our pick2–0Correct result
Wolves vs Watford: Can the Hornets Trouble Wolves at Molineux?
Wolves have struggled for consistency lately, but Watford arrive at the foot of the Championship with little away form to lean on. Can the visitors make Saturday's clash at Molineux uncomfortable?
📍 Molineux Stadium
Match report
Wolves beat Watford 1-0 in round 12 of the Championship. The only goal came in the 35th minute, scored by Adam Armstrong, with no assist recorded. There were no red cards in the match.
The numbers point to a clear home dominance. Wolves had 63% possession and 24 shots to Watford's 4, with 3 of their shots on target while Watford had none. Their expected goals stood at 1.88 against 0.15, and they won 14 corners to 2. The top-rated player was A. Armstrong, with a rating of 8.0. Compared with the PreviaXI model's pre-match view of a 2-0 home win, with 61% for Wolves, 23% for a draw and 16% for Watford, the final margin was narrower, at a single goal.
Goals
- 35'Adam Armstrong · Wolves
Cards
- 41'Kieran Trippier · Wolves
- 41'Iker Bravo · Watford
- 49'Hector Kyprianou · Watford
- 74'Jordan Zemura · Watford
- 79'Thomas Doyle · Wolves
- 87'Hugo Bueno · Wolves
- 88'José Sá · Wolves
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: A. Armstrong (Wolves) 8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Wolves · 4-2-3-1
- 1José SáG
- 2K. TrippierD
- 15Y. MosqueraD
- 37L. KrejčíD
- 3Hugo BuenoD
- 7AndréM
- 5M. MunetsiM
- 27J. BellegardeM
- 8J. JamesM
- 19R. SaïdM
- 10A. ArmstrongF
Coach: César Peixoto
Watford · 5-3-2
- 1F. RavagliaG
- 16M. BolaD
- 4K. KebenD
- 6M. PollockD
- 29Branimir MlačićD
- 15K. DiattaD
- 39E. KayembeM
- 5H. KyprianouM
- 17Iker BravoM
- 10M. BoaduF
- 9L. KjerrumgaardF
Coach: A. Dionisi
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Watford | 0.9 | 1.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wolves | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | -9 | 11 |
Last meetings
- 2022Wolves4-0Watford
- 2021Watford0-2Wolves
- 2020Watford2-1Wolves
- 2019Wolves2-0Watford
- 2019Watford1-2Wolves
Absences
Wolves
- OutR. Gomes · Foot Injury
- OutR. Jimenez · Knee Injury
- OutB. Traore · Injury
- DoubtfulA. Armstrong · Back Injury
Watford
- OutK. Baah · Knock
- OutE. Bove · Knee Injury
- OutJ. Ngakia · Thigh Injury
- DoubtfulT. Akomeah · Lacking Match Fitness
- DoubtfulM. Antonio · Inactive
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.93 – 0.88
- Double chance
- 1X · 84%12 77% · X2 39%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Expected corners
- 10.57.3 – 3.2 · Over 9.5: 60%
- Expected cards
- 4.71.8 – 2.9 · Over 3.5: 69%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Wolves have won only two of their last five matches, scoring five and conceding six in that spell. Even so, they sit seventh in the Championship, and the gap to a Watford side bottom-half in the table is considerable.
Favourite’s chance to find rhythm
Wolves have 18 points from 11 games and a goal difference of +3. Watford have 11 points, sit 20th, and carry a -9 goal difference. A home win would strengthen Wolves’ grip on the upper half of the table. For Watford, four straight defeats have made every away trip a test of their belief, and the Hornets arrive looking for the first sign that their results can turn.
Form
At Molineux this season, Wolves have scored nine goals and conceded seven in five home matches, winning twice and drawing twice. Their home form has been more reliable than their overall record suggests.
Watford’s away record is the bigger concern. They have scored just two goals in five away games this season, have not won on the road, and have lost four of their six away matches. In their last five games overall, they have scored four and conceded twelve.
Head-to-head
Wolves have the upper hand in recent meetings. They have won four of the last five between the sides, with Watford’s only victory coming in a 2-1 home win in January 2020. Wolves’ most recent win in that run was a 4-0 rout in March 2022, though those meetings came in the Premier League.
Team news
Wolves will be without R. Gomes (foot), R. Jimenez (knee) and B. Traore (injury), while A. Armstrong is a doubt with a back problem.
Watford are missing K. Baah (knock), E. Bove (knee) and J. Ngakia (thigh). T. Akomeah and M. Antonio are also doubtful.
Our prediction
Wolves should have too much for a Watford side that has struggled to score away from home and has conceded freely in recent weeks. PreviaXI’s model also favours the home side, pointing to Wolves creating the better chances and a home record that has been stronger than their overall form. Watford will hope to keep things tight, but their away problems and Wolves’ home advantage point to a comfortable home win.
Wolves 2-0 Watford
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