Championship · Matchday 15 
Watford vs Middlesbrough: prediction, stats and form
Championship, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Watford 22%, the draw 26% and Middlesbrough 52%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Watford22%Draw26%Middlesbrough52%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.97 – 1.63
- Double chance
- X2 · 78%1X 48% · 12 74%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 26%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 20% – 38%Watford–Middlesbrough
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 19% · 2 39%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 32%X/2 18% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.74.4 – 6.3 · Over 9.5: 61%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.1 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 56%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 0-210%
- 1-210%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Middlesbrough
- Power ratings: Watford -0.34 goals per game (21st of 24 in Championship), Middlesbrough +0.62 (1st).
- Watford's attack (1.12 goals per game) meets Middlesbrough's defence (1.05 conceded per game).
- Middlesbrough's attack (1.67) meets Watford's defence (1.46).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 0.97 – 1.63 goals: Watford 22%, draw 26%, Middlesbrough 52%.
Match facts
Last matches · Watford
- L Sat 31 Oct A Norwich 2-3
- L Sat 24 Oct A Wolves 0-1
- W Sat 17 Oct H Charlton 2-0
- L Tue 13 Oct A Cardiff 1-5
- L Sat 10 Oct H Burnley 0-4
- L Fri 18 Sept A Bristol City 0-1
Last matches · Middlesbrough
- W Sat 31 Oct H Charlton 3-0
- W Fri 23 Oct A Bolton 5-1
- D Sat 17 Oct H Cardiff 2-2
- W Tue 13 Oct A Stoke City 3-2
- W Sat 10 Oct H Wolves 1-0
- D Sat 19 Sept A Birmingham 2-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Watford | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Watford (H) | Middlesbrough (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/24 | Watford | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 1/24 | Middlesbrough | 13 | +13 | 28 |
Last meetings
- 2026Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford
- 2025Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.