Championship · Matchday 15 
Preston vs Southampton: prediction, stats and form
Championship, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Preston 24%, the draw 24% and Southampton 52%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Preston24%Draw24%Southampton52%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.20 – 1.84
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 48% · X2 76%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 36%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Clean sheet
- 16% – 30%Preston–Southampton
- Half-time result
- 2 · 40%1 22% · X 38%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 32%X/2 16% · 1/1 14%
- Expected corners
- 11.15.1 – 6.0 · Over 9.5: 65%
- Expected cards
- 3.82.2 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 52%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-210%
- 0-18%
- 0-28%
- 2-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Southampton
- Power ratings: Preston -0.47 goals per game (24th of 24 in Championship), Southampton +0.44 (4th).
- Preston's attack (1.16 goals per game) meets Southampton's defence (1.25 conceded per game).
- Southampton's attack (1.69) meets Preston's defence (1.63).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.20 – 1.84 goals: Preston 24%, draw 24%, Southampton 52%.
Match facts
Last matches · Preston
- L Sat 31 Oct A Stoke City 0-2
- D Sat 24 Oct H West Brom 1-1
- L Sat 17 Oct A Wrexham 1-4
- L Tue 13 Oct A Birmingham 0-4
- L Sat 10 Oct H Millwall 0-1
- D Sat 19 Sept A QPR 2-2
Last matches · Southampton
- W Sat 31 Oct H QPR 4-1
- W Sat 24 Oct A West Ham 3-2
- D Sat 17 Oct H Bolton 0-0
- W Wed 14 Oct A Norwich 1-0
- W Sun 11 Oct H Portsmouth 1-0
- L Sat 19 Sept A Wrexham 1-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Preston | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Conceded | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Preston (H) | Southampton (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/24 | Preston | 13 | -17 | 5 |
| 2/24 | Southampton | 13 | +15 | 27 |
Last meetings
- 2026Preston 1-3 Southampton
- 2025Southampton 0-2 Preston
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.