Championship · Matchday 15 
Bristol City vs Norwich: prediction, stats and form
Championship, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Bristol City 41%, the draw 27% and Norwich 32%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Bristol City41%Draw27%Norwich32%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.46 – 1.28
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 68% · X2 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%Over 1.5: 77% · Over 3.5: 30%
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 23%Bristol City–Norwich
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 32% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%2/2 19% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.54.8 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 3.81.6 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 53%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 2-19%
- 1-09%
- 1-28%
- 0-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Bristol City
- Power ratings: Bristol City -0.15 goals per game (15th of 24 in Championship), Norwich -0.05 (12th).
- Bristol City's attack (1.23 goals per game) meets Norwich's defence (1.44 conceded per game).
- Norwich's attack (1.39) meets Bristol City's defence (1.38).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.46 – 1.28 goals: Bristol City 41%, draw 27%, Norwich 32%.
Match facts
Last matches · Bristol City
- W Sat 31 Oct A Bolton 3-2
- D Sat 24 Oct A Stoke City 0-0
- L Sat 17 Oct H Sheffield Utd 0-1
- L Tue 13 Oct H Blackburn 0-1
- D Sat 10 Oct A Charlton 1-1
- W Fri 18 Sept H Watford 1-0
Last matches · Norwich
- W Sat 31 Oct H Watford 3-2
- W Sat 24 Oct A Charlton 3-1
- L Sat 17 Oct H Portsmouth 0-1
- L Wed 14 Oct H Southampton 0-1
- L Sat 10 Oct A Swansea 1-2
- L Sun 20 Sept H Bolton 3-4
Last 10 matches
| · | Bristol City | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Bristol City (H) | Norwich (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 90% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/24 | Bristol City | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15/24 | Norwich | 13 | -1 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2026Bristol City 2-4 Norwich
- 2025Norwich 0-1 Bristol City
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.