Championship · Matchday 15 
Cardiff vs Burnley: prediction, stats and form
Championship, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Cardiff 55%, the draw 21% and Burnley 24%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Cardiff55%Draw21%Burnley24%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.20 – 1.41
- Double chance
- 12 · 79%1X 76% · X2 45%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%Over 1.5: 88% · Over 3.5: 49%
- Both teams score
- 68%
- Clean sheet
- 24% – 11%Cardiff–Burnley
- Half-time result
- 1 · 43%X 34% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 35%X/1 16% · 2/2 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.46.5 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 3.91.5 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 54%
- Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 1-19%
- 3-17%
- 2-07%
- 2-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Cardiff
- Power ratings: Cardiff +0.09 goals per game (7th of 24 in Championship), Burnley -0.27 (17th).
- Cardiff's attack (1.64 goals per game) meets Burnley's defence (1.63 conceded per game).
- Burnley's attack (1.36) meets Cardiff's defence (1.55).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.20 – 1.41 goals: Cardiff 55%, draw 21%, Burnley 24%.
Match facts
Last matches · Cardiff
- L Sat 31 Oct A Wolves 0-3
- W Sat 24 Oct H Birmingham 1-0
- D Sat 17 Oct A Middlesbrough 2-2
- W Tue 13 Oct H Watford 5-1
- L Sat 10 Oct A Blackburn 1-2
- W Sat 19 Sept H Charlton 3-1
Last matches · Burnley
- D Sat 31 Oct H Portsmouth 0-0
- L Sat 24 Oct A Lincoln 1-4
- L Fri 16 Oct H Wolves 1-2
- D Tue 13 Oct H Charlton 2-2
- W Sat 10 Oct A Watford 4-0
- D Sat 19 Sept H Derby 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Cardiff | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Cardiff (H) | Burnley (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 0.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/24 | Cardiff | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22/24 | Burnley | 13 | -8 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2025Burnley 1-2 Cardiff
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.