Championship – Matchday 13: predictions & previews

All 12 matches of Championship Matchday 13 (30 October – 31 October 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

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Key numbers

  • Biggest favourite: Middlesbrough (66% to win against Charlton).
  • Closest on paper: Burnley – Portsmouth (38% vs 35%, draw 27%).
  • Most goals expected: Wolves – Cardiff (3.2 expected goals); fewest: Swansea – Blackburn (2.4).
  • Both teams to score is more likely than not in 10 of 12 matches.
  • The model expects about 33 goals in these 12 matches (2.76 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 12 · most likely result correct: 9 (75%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 8 (67%) · both teams to score correct: 8 (67%)

·Match1X2DCO 2.5BTTSCornersCardsResult·
Sheffield UtdWrexham46%26%28%1274%52%55%10.76.1–4.63.71.7–2.01-0✅

·Match1X2DCO 2.5BTTSCornersCardsResult·
LincolnBirmingham32%28%40%1272%47%52%10.43.6–6.84.22.0–2.21-3✅
NorwichWatford50%26%24%1X76%52%54%9.66.0–3.64.72.1–2.63-2✅
Stoke CityPreston43%28%29%1272%48%53%11.27.3–3.93.71.4–2.32-0✅
BoltonBristol City41%26%33%1274%55%58%10.25.7–4.53.51.7–1.82-3❌
BurnleyPortsmouth38%27%35%1273%51%56%9.85.2–4.63.82.0–1.80-0❌
MiddlesbroughCharlton66%22%12%1X88%50%45%11.58.2–3.33.61.2–2.43-0✅
MillwallDerby50%26%24%1X76%50%53%11.26.5–4.74.31.6–2.74-1✅
SouthamptonQPR52%24%24%1X76%56%57%10.05.7–4.34.31.7–2.64-1✅
SwanseaBlackburn45%29%26%1X74%42%48%10.25.2–5.04.01.5–2.54-0✅
West HamWest Brom59%22%19%1X81%59%57%10.86.4–4.43.41.6–1.81-3❌
WolvesCardiff54%23%23%1X77%63%62%11.67.2–4.44.31.8–2.53-0✅

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