4–0 Full time Saturday 31 October

Our pick1–0Correct result

Swansea vs Blackburn: second place and promotion momentum on the line

Swansea sit second in the Championship, five points ahead of 10th-placed Blackburn. Recent meetings have favoured the Welsh side, but both arrive with strong recent form.

📍 Swansea.com Stadium

Preview written: Fri 30 Oct 02:06

All Matchday 13 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Swansea beat Blackburn 4-0. Stephen Eustáquio opened the scoring in the 11th minute, assisted by Joseph Amankwaah Opoku, who added a second in the 32nd minute. Filip Lissah made it 3-0 in the 36th, with Stephen Welsh providing the assist. Ross Stewart completed the scoring in the 59th minute, assisted by Eom Ji-Sung. There were no red cards.

Swansea had 68% possession and led the shots on target 9-2, while the xG figures were 2.37 to 0.38. Swansea’s Joseph Okopu was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.0. The result surpassed the pre-match model’s predicted 1-0 Swansea win, with Swansea given a 45% win probability, a draw 29% and a Blackburn win 26%.

Goals

11'Stephen Eustáquio · Joseph Amankwaah Opoku · Swansea
32'Joseph Amankwaah Opoku · Swansea
36'Filip Lissah · Stephen Welsh · Swansea
59'Ross Stewart · Eom Ji-Sung · Swansea

Cards

22'Moussa·Baradji · Blackburn

Match stats

SwanseaBlackburn

68%Possession32%

20Shots7

9Shots on target2

2.37Expected goals (xG)0.38

1Corners2

9Fouls16

1Offsides1

2Saves5

⭐ Top-rated player: Joseph Okopu (Swansea) 9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Swansea · 4-2-3-1

22L. VigourouxG
26F. LissahD
5B. CabangoD
23S. WelshD
14J. TymonD
4J. FultonM
46S. EustáquioM
30Joseph OkopuM
7M. WidellM
10Eom Ji-SungM
31R. StewartF

Coach: Vítor Matos

Blackburn · 4-2-3-1

22B. TóthG
2R. AlebiosuD
6Tom AtchesonD
15S. McLoughlinD
3H. PickeringD
24M. BaradjiM
31Kristi MontgomeryM
11J. FevrierM
10T. CantwellM
21O. AfolayanM
9A. GuðjohnsenF

Coach: Tony Mowbray

Match facts

Recent form

SwanseaWWWLL

BlackburnDWWLW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Swansea	1.3	1.1
Blackburn	1.6	1.3

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	Swansea	12	+3	23
10	Blackburn	12	+3	18

Last meetings

2026Swansea3-1Blackburn
2025Blackburn1-2Swansea
2025Swansea3-0Blackburn
2024Blackburn1-0Swansea
2024Swansea2-1Blackburn

Absences

Swansea

OutC. Burgess · Achilles Tendon Injury
OutJ. Key · Muscle Injury
OutRonald · Hamstring Injury

Blackburn

OutA. Forshaw · Hip Injury
OutM. Litherland · Muscle Injury
OutL. Miller · Achilles Tendon Injury
OutS. Morsy · Yellow Cards
OutY. Ohashi · Hamstring Injury
OutY. Ribeiro · Hamstring Injury
DoubtfulR. Morishita · Injury

PreviaXI model

Swansea45%Draw29%Blackburn26%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.37 – 0.99
Double chance: 1X · 74%12 71% · X2 55%
Over 2.5 goals: 42%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 21%
Both teams score: 48%
Clean sheet: 37% – 25%Swansea–Blackburn
Half-time result: X · 45%1 33% · 2 22%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 27%X/X 19% · X/1 16%
Expected corners: 10.25.2 – 5.0 · Over 9.5: 56%
Expected cards: 4.01.5 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 57%
Most likely scores: 1-114%
1-012%
0-010%
2-09%
2-19%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Second place under pressure

Swansea’s 3-1 win over Blackburn in January is the latest chapter in a rivalry that has recently tilted towards the Welsh side. Their next meeting carries added weight: Swansea are second in the Championship with 23 points, while Blackburn sit 10th on 18. A home win would strengthen Swansea’s position near the top; Blackburn can close the five-point gap and move closer to the leading pack with a result.

Both sides have played 12 league matches, and each has a goal difference of plus three. Swansea’s seven wins are two more than Blackburn’s, but the visitors have scored 19 goals to Swansea’s 16.

Contrasting runs

Swansea’s last five have brought three wins, while their overall recent sequence is more mixed: after three straight victories, they have lost their last two league games. They have been particularly reliable at home, with three wins, two draws and one defeat in six matches, conceding just three goals there.

Blackburn have won three of their last five and scored nine goals in that run, compared with Swansea’s five. Their season away record is less convincing, however: one win, three draws and two defeats from six trips. They have conceded nine times on the road.

Swansea have had the edge

Swansea won the most recent meeting 3-1 in January and also took a 2-1 away victory in September. They have won four of the last five listed encounters, including two home wins by at least two goals. Blackburn’s sole win in that sequence came at home, 1-0, in October 2024.

Absences across both squads

Swansea are without C. Burgess, J. Key and Ronald, each listed with an injury. Blackburn’s unavailable players are A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, Y. Ohashi and Y. Ribeiro; R. Morishita is questionable. The reasons listed include injuries for five of those absences and a yellow-card suspension for Morsy.

Goals from both sides

Blackburn’s recent scoring run makes them a threat despite their modest away record, while Swansea’s home defensive numbers offer a counterpoint: they have conceded only three goals in six home league matches. Swansea have also scored five of their 16 league goals between the 46th and 60th minutes, a period in which Blackburn have conceded four of their 16.

Our prediction

Swansea’s home record and repeated success in recent meetings give them the edge, even though Blackburn have been sharper in front of goal over their last five. PreviaXI’s model also favours the hosts, pointing towards a narrow result rather than a high-scoring contest.

Swansea 1-0 Blackburn

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