West Brom vs Millwall: prediction, stats and form
Championship, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives West Brom 40%, the draw 28% and Millwall 32%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
West Brom40%Draw28%Millwall32%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.34 – 1.17
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 68% · X2 60%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Clean sheet
- 31% – 26%West Brom–Millwall
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 31% · 2 25%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%X/X 18% · 2/2 18%
- Expected corners
- 10.96.4 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 64%
- Expected cards
- 3.71.7 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 50%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-010%
- 0-09%
- 0-19%
- 2-19%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards West Brom
- Power ratings: West Brom +0.07 goals per game (8th of 24 in Championship), Millwall +0.17 (6th).
- West Brom's attack (1.26 goals per game) meets Millwall's defence (1.30 conceded per game).
- Millwall's attack (1.47) meets West Brom's defence (1.19).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.34 – 1.17 goals: West Brom 40%, draw 28%, Millwall 32%.
Match facts
Last matches · West Brom
- W Sat 31 Oct A West Ham 3-1
- D Sat 24 Oct A Preston 1-1
- W Sat 17 Oct H Blackburn 3-2
- W Tue 13 Oct A Wrexham 2-1
- L Sat 10 Oct H Birmingham 0-1
- L Sun 20 Sept A Wolves 0-1
Last matches · Millwall
- W Sat 31 Oct H Derby 4-1
- L Sat 24 Oct A Portsmouth 1-2
- D Sat 17 Oct H Lincoln 2-2
- L Tue 13 Oct H Swansea 0-1
- W Sat 10 Oct A Preston 1-0
- D Sat 19 Sept H West Ham 2-2
Last 10 matches
| · | West Brom | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | West Brom (H) | Millwall (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/24 | West Brom | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 12/24 | Millwall | 13 | +2 | 18 |
Last meetings
- 2026West Brom 0-0 Millwall
- 2025Millwall 3-0 West Brom
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

