Bundesliga – Matchday 9: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Bundesliga Matchday 9 (6 November – 8 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

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Key numbers

  • Biggest favourite: Borussia Dortmund (69% to win against SV Elversberg).
  • Closest on paper: SC Paderborn 07 – Eintracht Frankfurt (37% vs 34%, draw 29%).
  • Most goals expected: FSV Mainz 05 – Bayern München (4.3 expected goals); fewest: SC Paderborn 07 – Eintracht Frankfurt (2.4).
  • Both teams to score is more likely than not in 7 of 8 matches.
  • The model expects about 27 goals in these 8 matches (3.34 per match).

All matches

·Match1X2DCO 2.5BTTSCornersCardsResult·
Hamburger SVBorussia Mönchengladbach–

·Match1X2DCO 2.5BTTSCornersCardsResult·
Borussia DortmundSV Elversberg69%18%13%1X87%67%58%11.78.4–3.33.61.9–1.7
RB LeipzigFC Augsburg69%16%15%1X85%78%68%10.76.6–4.13.31.4–1.9
FSV Mainz 05Bayern München17%17%66%1283%80%73%9.74.2–5.53.61.9–1.7
SC Paderborn 07Eintracht Frankfurt37%29%34%1271%43%50%10.36.0–4.33.81.8–2.0
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen59%21%20%1X80%67%64%10.66.7–3.93.61.5–2.1

·Match1X2DCO 2.5BTTSCornersCardsResult·
1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen34%24%42%1276%65%66%10.34.6–5.74.82.4–2.4
SC FreiburgUnion Berlin55%24%21%1X79%53%53%8.25.0–3.24.11.8–2.3
1899 HoffenheimFC Schalke 0464%22%14%1X86%53%49%11.07.8–3.23.72.1–1.6

Matches marked – are outside our model window or were played before the archive started; they link once a preview exists.

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